FNUS73 KUNR 011206
FWSUNR

SPOT FORECAST FOR WELCOME SD...BUREAU OF INDIAN AFFAIRS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
606 AM MDT SAT SEP 1 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0554 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RAPID CITY.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...VERY HOT TEMPERATURES AND LOW HUMIDITY WILL BE FOUND
ACROSS THE AREA TODAY...WITH HIGHS 100 TO 105. MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITY WILL BE 10 TO 15 PERCENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH ARE EXPECTED FROM LATE THIS MORNING
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE ACROSS
WESTERN SOUTH DAKOTA LATE THIS EVENING...WITH WINDS SHIFTING TO
THE NORTHWEST. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING A VERY SLIGHT CHANCE FOR
A THUNDERSTORM TO THE AREA...MAINLY THIS EVENING. IF THUNDERSTORMS
DEVELOP...LIMITED RAINFALL WILL SUPPORT INCREASED PROBABILITY FOR
FIRE STARTS AND GROWTH GIVEN CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. AREAS OF SMOKE IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 102.
MIN HUMIDITY........13 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 16 TO 25 MPH..WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    30 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......13400 TO 14400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 24 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.
MAX HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND 2 AM.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 TO 1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 14 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JC
REQUESTED BY...DOUVILLE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120901.WELCO.01/UNR