FNUS75 KGJT 022031
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR JAS LABOR DAY FESTIVAL...SNOWMASS WILDCAT FIRE PROTECTION DISTRICT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
231 PM MDT SUN SEP 2 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1359 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A MOIST SOUTHWEST FLOW IS STREAMING OVER THE
FESTIVAL SITE TODAY BUT DIMINISHES ON LABOR DAY. FOR THIS
AFTERNOON...AT 2:30 PM...THERE IS ONE STRENGTHENING CELL TO THE
SOUTHWEST OF THE FESTIVAL SITE THAT MAY THREATEN RAIN AND GUSTY
WINDS AROUND 3PM. MORE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. ALL STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DIE BY MIDNIGHT. ON LABOR
DAY...IF ANY STORMS FORM IN THE AREA THEY ARE EXPECTED TO STAY
OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN. GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS MAY STILL BE A
THREAT.

KEEP AN EYE ON THE SKY TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE FESTIVAL. THE
FORMATION OF SHOWERS OR VIRGA IS A INDICATOR THAT LIGHTNING AND
GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE NEXT HALF HOUR. CALL US WITH
ANY CONCERNS 1-800-868-7964

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%) WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73 F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 3-8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................4.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 MPH.

.TONIGHT AFTER SUNSET...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (50-60%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 9 PM. THEN ISOLATED STORMS
                    AND SHOWERS POSSIBLE THROUGH MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-47 F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 2-5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 9PM...THEN 2 UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN 1.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 12 MPH.

.LABOR DAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%). ISOLATED AFTERNOON
                    STORMS POSSIBLE POSSIBLE OVER THE HIGHER
                    MOUNTAINS TO THE SOUTHWEST.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76 F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 2-5 MPH UNTIL 1000AM. THEN SWITCHING
                    TO NORTHWEST WINDS 3-8 MPH WITH AFTERNOON GUSTS
                    TO 20 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...JOHN T  MELE
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR
.TAG 20120902.JASLA.01/GJT