FNUS75 KGJT 022356
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR JAS LABOR DAY FESTIVAL...SNOWMASS WILDCAT FD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
556 PM MDT SUN SEP 2 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1738 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A MOIST SOUTHWEST FLOW IS STREAMING OVER THE FESTIVAL SITE TODAY BUT
DIMINISHES ON LABOR DAY. AT 545 PM THERE WERE NO THREATENING STORMS
IN THE VICINITY OF THE FESTIVAL AND THIS SHOULD HOLD THROUGH AT
LEAST THE NEXT FEW HORUS. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED STORMS ARE POSSIBLE
OVER THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS THROUGH LATE EVENING THEN ARE EXPECTED TO
DISSIPATE BY MIDNIGHT. ON LABOR DAY...IF ANY STORMS FORM IN THE AREA
THEY ARE EXPECTED TO STAY OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN. GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS
MAY STILL BE A THREAT.

KEEP AN EYE ON THE SKY TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE FESTIVAL. THE
FORMATION OF SHOWERS OR VIRGA IS A INDICATOR THAT LIGHTNING AND
GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE NEXT HALF HOUR. CALL US AT
1-800-868-7964 WITH CONCERNS.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE IN THE VALLEY THROUGH
                    MIDNIGHT...WITH SCATTERED COVERAGE OVER THE
                    HIGHER TERRAIN. BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT AS CONVECTION DISSIPATES.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-47 F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 3-7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6900 FT AGL DECREASING TO LESS THAN 1500 FT AGL
                    BY MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 MPH.

.LABOR DAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    POSSIBLE OVER THE HIGHER MOUNTAINS TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76 F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 2-5 MPH UNTIL 1000 AM MDT. THEN SWITCHING
                    TO NORTHWEST WINDS 3-8 MPH WITH AFTERNOON GUSTS
                    TO 20 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...DENNIS PHILLIPS
REQUESTED BY...JOHN T  MELE
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR
.TAG 20120902.JASLA.03/GJT