FNUS76 KMFR 032351
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR SLATE CREEK...ODF GRANTS PASS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
451 PM PDT MON SEP 3 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1621 PDT ON SEPTEMBER 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...OFF SHORE FLOW WITH MODERATE HUMIDITY RECOVERIES MID SLOPE AND
ABOVE TONIGHT...

.DISCUSSION...
THE PRIMARY WEATHER CONCERNS FOR THIS FIRE ARE DEVELOPING OFFSHORE
FLOW TONIGHT AND THE RESULTING POORER HUMIDITY RECOVERIES.
RECOVERIES SHOULD BE GOOD IN THE LOWER SECTIONS BUT ONLY MODERATE
RECOVERIES ARE EXPECTED IN THE MIDSLOPES AND RIDGE TOPS. WINDS
WILL BE LOCALLY SLOPE DRIVEN OVERNIGHT BUT SHOULD BECOME
NORTHEASTERLY OVER EXPOSED AREAS AND RIDGES. LAST NIGHTS INVERSION
SET UP UNDER 1000 FEET AGL AND SHOULD BE SIMILAR TONIGHT WHICH
PUTS THE INVERSION BELOW THE TOP OF THE FIRE. THIS MEANS CRITICAL
FIRE CONDITIONS MAY CONTINUE AT THE TOP TONIGHT. TOMORROW WILL BE
WARMER WITH LOWER HUMIDITIES THAN TODAY...GENERALLY LESS THAN 15
PERCENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....49-52 BOTTOM...52-55 TOP.
MAX HUMIDITY........56-60 PERCENT...EXCEPT 40-44 PERCENT MIDSLOPES
                    AND RIDGES.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH-NORTHWEST 3-5 MPH WITH GUSTS 8 MPH THROUGH
                    9PM...THEN BECOMING NORTHEAST 1-3 MPH. LOCALLY
                    DOWNSLOPE 1-2 MPH IN SHELTERED AREAS.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH-NORTHWEST 5-8 MPH WITH GUSTS 12 MPH THROUGH
                    9PM...THEN BECOMING NORTHEAST 2-4 MPH. LOCALLY
                    DOWNSLOPE 1-2 MPH IN SHELTERED AREAS.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY AND WARMER.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....88 TOP...92 BOTTOM.
MIN HUMIDITY........12-16 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST 1-2 MPH IN THE MORNING (LOCALLY VARIABLE IN
                    SHELTERED AREAS) THEN BECOMING NORTH-NORTHWEST
                    3-5 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 8 MPH AFTER 2 PM.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST 2-4 MPH IN THE MORNING (LOCALLY VARIABLE IN
                    SHELTERED AREAS) THEN BECOMING NORTH-NORTHWEST
                    5-8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 12 MPH AFTER 2 PM.

$$
FORECASTER...WRIGHT
REQUESTED BY...SHELLY HOFFER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120903.SLATE.01/MFR