FNUS73 KDLH 041252 FWSDLH SPOT FORECAST FOR CUMMINGS...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN 752 AM CDT TUE SEP 4 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0740 CDT ON SEPTEMBER 04. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... TO BEGIN WITH THE MEANDER TEMPERATURE...63 DEGREES...SEEMS UNREPRESENTATIVE OF THE AREA. AWOS TEMPERATURES SURROUNDING THE SITE ARE IN THE MID 40S WITH OTHER RAWS SITES RANGING BETWEEN 47 AND 49 DEGREES. SURFACE SYSTEMS ARE WEAK AND HARD TO DEFINE. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE QUITE WEAK THROUGH THE DAY. A AREA OF SLIGHTLY LOWER PRESSURE WILL PASS JUST TO THE SOUTH OF DULUTH. MOISTURE IS LIMITED...SO IN SPITE OF SIGNIFICANT THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...THERE IS NO LOW- LEVEL TRIGGER TO TOUCH ANY OFF...SO COVERAGE WILL ONLY BE SCATTERED TODAY AND TONIGHT. FOR THE OUTLOOK...COOL AND DRY AIR WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA LATE WEDNESDAY...LITTLE IF ANY RAINFALL WILL ACCOMPANY OR FOLLOW THIS COOLING. ANY SHOWERS WILL BE QUITE MEAGER WEDNESDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT. MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85. MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 3 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING EAST 4 TO 6 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING NORTHEAST 4 TO 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2800 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 5100 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 3600 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3000) INCREASING TO FAIR (28800) LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO GOOD (58600) EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO FAIR (29000) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM TEMP............56 65 73 79 82 81 RH..............86 65 51 44 40 41 20 FT WIND DIR..S SE E NE E E 20 FT WIND SPD..2 4 6 7 6 5 20 FT WIND GUST. 5 7 8 7 6 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....51-56. MAX HUMIDITY........83 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 3 TO 4 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST 4 TO 5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING WEST AROUND 10 MPH LATE. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (7100) DECREASING TO POOR (950) IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT...THEN INCREASING TO POOR (3700) LATE. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM TEMP............76 66 61 58 57 55 RH..............46 63 72 77 77 80 20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE N W W W 20 FT WIND SPD..4 3 3 4 4 4 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72. MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH BECOMING WEST 10 TO 11 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 TO 25 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (17000) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (142600). TIME (CDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM TEMP............54 59 64 68 70 69 RH..............83 72 60 54 51 51 20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW W W W W 20 FT WIND SPD..6 8 10 11 11 11 20 FT WIND GUST.7 10 14 16 16 16 $$ FORECASTER...PETER REQUESTED BY...ANDREW NELSON TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120904.CUMMI.01/DLH