FNUS73 KDLH 042008 AAB
FWSDLH

SPOT FORECAST FOR CUMMINGS...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
308 PM CDT TUE SEP 4 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0740 CDT ON SEPTEMBER 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVING ACROSS THE
NORTHLAND WILL BRING A CHANCE OF SHOWER AND STORMS TO THE WILDFIRE
AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING. SOUTH/SOUTHWEST
WINDS DIMINISH THIS EVENING AS MIXING SUBSIDIES. HOWEVER WINDS
COULD BE GUSTY AND ERRATIC NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. A COLD FRONT WILL
TRACK EASTWARD ACROSS THE NORTHLAND TONIGHT...BRINGING ANOTHER
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS TO THE WILDFIRE AREA. WINDS WILL
INCREASE OUT OF THE WEST/NORTHWEST MORE SUBSTANTIALLY ON WEDNESDAY
AND WILL BECOME GUSTY AT TIMES.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 40
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....86.
MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 6100 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (98200) DECREASING TO GOOD (52500)
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
TEMP............85     83     79
RH..............25     34     45
20 FT WIND DIR..S      S      SW
20 FT WIND SPD..7      7      5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF
                    PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 3 TO 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    7 TO 9 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST LATE.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (22800) DECREASING TO POOR (2150) IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

TIME (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
TEMP............77     71     65     60     58     56
RH..............47     55     68     78     80     83
20 FT WIND DIR..SW     SW     SW     S      W      NW
20 FT WIND SPD..4      2      2      3      7      8
20 FT WIND GUST.5                           8      10

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY. A
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 40
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70.
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 7 MPH BECOMING WEST 7 TO 10
                    MPH IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 11 TO
                    13 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 10 MPH BECOMING WEST IN THE LATE
                    MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (7600) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (134300).

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
TEMP............54     58     63     68     70     69
RH..............86     75     62     52     47     47
20 FT WIND DIR..N      NW     W      W      W      W
20 FT WIND SPD..7      7      9      12     12     12
20 FT WIND GUST.8      8      13     18     18     18

$$
FORECASTER...ROMAN
REQUESTED BY...ANDREW NELSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120904.CUMMI.01/DLH