FNUS75 KGJT 060538 FWSGJT SPOT FORECAST FOR WAGON CANYON...UT-UOA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO 1138 PM MDT WED SEP 5 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2152 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 05. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A LOW PRESSURE DISTURBANCE WILL DROP SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS IDAHO AND MONTANA TODAY AND INTO THE PLAINS STATES ON FRIDAY. AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL REACH THE UTAH/WYOMING BORDER BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON...BUT WILL ONLY BRUSH THE TAVAPUTS PLATEAU AS MOST OF THE COLDER PUSH TRACKS SOUTHWARD EAST OF THE ROCKY MOUNTAINS ON FRIDAY. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL PICK UP AHEAD OF THESE DISTURBANCES AND MAY APPROACH CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS AT TIMES. HOWEVER CLOUD COVER DUE TO INCREASED MID AND UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE MAY INHIBIT THE WINDS. AND AS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL INCREASE. A COOLER AND MORE STABLE NORTHWEST FLOW IS EXPECTED FOR FRIDAY. .THURSDAY (UNTIL SUNSET)... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%)...BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%) IN THE AFTERNOON. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80 F. MIN HUMIDITY........12-15%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-6 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST 4-8 MPH AND INCREASING TO 8-14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH AFTER 1300. FOR BRIEF PERIODS WIND GUSTS MAY EXCEED 25 MPH. WINDS BECOMING WEST TOWARDS SUNSET. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1300...THEN 4. .THURSDAY NIGHT (AFTER SUNSET)... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...DIMINISHING AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50 F. MAX HUMIDITY........55-60%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 8-12 MPH WITH GUSTS 15-20 MPH DIMINISHING BY 2200...THEN BECOMING NORTH 4-8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. LAL.................4 UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN 2. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-74 F. MIN HUMIDITY........20-25%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST LATE IN THE MORNING SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. LAL.................1. $$ FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN REQUESTED BY...LIND--IC TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120905.WAGON.01/GJT