FNUS73 KUNR 052312
FWSUNR

SPOT FORECAST FOR KINNEY...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
512 PM MDT WED SEP 5 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1641 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RAPID CITY.

.DISCUSSION...UNDER CLEAR SKIES...TEMPERATURES WILL COOL QUICKLY THIS EVENING.
WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE LIGHT...AND QUITE VARIABLE IN DIRECTION OVERNIGHT. A COLD
FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA THURSDAY MORNING. THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY AFTERNOON INTO THURSDAY NIGHT.
COOLER WEATHER IS EXPECTED ON FRIDAY WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES AROUND 60 DEGREES.
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE AREA THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK
...BRINGING A WARMING TREND ALONG WITH DRY CONDITIONS.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 43.
RH..................MAX 62 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WIND AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH'
                    AFTER SUNSET...THEN BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE AFTER MIDNIGHT
                    ...THEN NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH TOWARD MORNING.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......FALLING TO 100 TO 600 FT AGL SHORTLY AFTER SUNSET.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH DURING THE EARLY EVENING...BECOMING SOUTHEAST
                    10 TO 15 MPH AFTER SUNSET...THEN WEST AROUND 5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT...
                    THEN NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH TOWARD MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING POOR AFTER SUNSET.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY EARLY IN THE MORNING THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 70.
RH..................MIN 26 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8100 TO 9100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 20 TO 25 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR INCREASING TO EXCELLENT.

$$
FORECASTER...GR
REQUESTED BY...BENNET
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120905.KINNE.01/UNR