FNUS75 KGJT 062353
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR CROSS CANYON...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
553 PM MDT THU SEP 6 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1659 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A SYSTEM MOVING THROUGH THE NORTHERN ROCKIES WILL
PUSH A COLD FRONT INTO NORTHWEST COLORADO LATE THIS EVENING. AS
THIS MUCH WEAKENED FRONT REACHES SOUTHWEST COLORADO LATE
TONIGHT...WINDS WILL SHIFT AROUND TO THE NORTH. SATELLITE IMAGES
INDICATE THAT ANY THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THE DISTURBANCE
WILL SKIRT TO THE NORTH OF THE FIRE TONIGHT. MOISTURE WILL
INCREASE OVER THE REGION THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY.
HOWEVER NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED AT THE FIRE SITE ON FRIDAY
THOUGH BUILDUPS CAN BE EXPECTED OVER THE NEARBY HIGHER TERRAIN.
GUSTY AND VARIABLE OUTFLOW WINDS FROM NEARBY THUNDERSTORMS THIS
EVENING...OR ANY NEARBY CONVECTION THAT DEVELOPS ON FRIDAY
AFTERNOON MAY REACH THE FIRE AT TIMES.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........45-50%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5-10 MPH...BECOMING WEST 8-12 MPH
                    AROUND 2000 WITH A FEW STRONGER GUSTS. AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT BECOMING NORTHWEST 4-8...AND
                    SWITCHING AROUND TO NORTHEAST BY MORNING.
                    GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS FROM THUNDERSTORMS TO THE
                    NORTH MAY REACH THE FIRE AT TIMES THIS EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........16-21%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 3-6 MPH INCREASING TO 8-12 MPH
                    DURING THE AFTERNOON. VARIABLE OUTFLOW
                    WINDS POSSIBLE WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...MAHONEN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120906.CROSS.02/GJT