FNUS76 KLOX 070149
FWSLOX

SPOT FORECAST FOR VALLEY...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
649 PM PDT THU SEP 6 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1725 PDT ON SEPTEMBER 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION FOR LATE
WEEK AND WEAKEN THE ONSHORE FLOW PATTERN IN PLACE. A WARMING AND
DRYING TREND WILL OCCUR THROUGH SATURDAY. THERE IS A POSSIBILITY
OF MONSOONAL MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY SNEAKING INTO THE AREA ON
SUNDAY AS A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH DEVELOPS OVER THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA AND EJECTS NORTHWARD. CONFIDENCE REMAINS LOW IN THE
TROUGHS MOVEMENT AT THIS TIME...BUT LALS AND CHANCE OF WETTING
RAINS COULD BE ADDED IN THE FUTURE FOR THE BURN AREA. A STRONGER
TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE SHOULD SWEEP SOUTH ON MONDAY...INCREASING
ONSHORE FLOW AND REPLACING THE WARM AIR MASS WITH A COOLER AND
MOIST MARITIME ONE.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    MAINLY DRY THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-60 DEGREES.
MAX HUMIDITY........66-71 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS 3-6 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
x09x09    8-12 MPH UNTIL 2000 HOURS...THEN BECOMING
x09x09    VARIABLE TO DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3 MPH OR LESS.
x09x09    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
x09x09    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
 RIDGETOP...........NORTHWEST TO NORTH 5-10 MPH UNTIL 2200
x09x09    HOURS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST TO WEST AROUND 5
x09x09    MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......FALLING TO 500 FT AGL OR LESS BY 2000 HOURS.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST TO NORTH 3-6 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-83 DEGREES.
MIN HUMIDITY........29-33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS 3-6 MPH UNTIL 1000
x09x09    HOURS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 3-6 MPH WITH GUSTS
x09x09    TO 8-12 MPH.
 RIDGETOP...........WEST TO NORTHWEST 5-10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL OR LESS EARLY LIFTING TO 6250 FT
x09x09    AGL BY 1300 HOURS.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3-6 MPH.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-60 DEGREES.
MAX HUMIDITY........55-60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS 3-6 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
x09x09    8-12 MPH UNTIL 1900 HOURS...BECOMING NORTH
x09x09    8-12 MPH WITH POSSIBLE GUSTS TO 17 MPH UNTIL
x09x09    0100 HOURS. THEN...BECOMING VARIABLE TO
x09x09    DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3 MPH OR LESS.
 RIDGETOP...........NORTHWEST TO NORTH 5-10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL EARLY FALLING TO 500 FT AGL OR
x09x09    LESS BY 2000 HOURS.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 4-8 MPH.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86 DEGREES.
MIN HUMIDITY........21-25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......VARIABLE 3 MPH OR LESS UNTIL 1100 HOURS...
x09x09    BECOMING SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 3-6 MPH WITH
x09x09    GUSTS TO 8-12 MPH
 RIDGETOP...........NORTHWEST TO NORTH 5-10 MPH UNTIL 0900
x09x09    HOURS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL OR LESS EARLY LIFTING TO 8250 FT
x09x09    AGL BY 1300 HOURS.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 4-8 MPH.


FORECASTER...HALL
REQUESTED BY...IC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120906.VALLE.01/LOX

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