FNUS75 KPUB 062047
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR MTN  HERMAN...USFS - PSF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
247 PM MDT THU SEP 6 2012

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

DRY WESTERLY FLOW OVER BURN SITE TODAY...WITH INCREASING CLOUDS AHEAD
OF AN APPROACHING FRONTAL SYSTEM THAT IS DUE TO ARRIVE OVERNIGHT.  THE
FRONT IS EXPECTED TO CROSS THE PALMER DIVIDE CLOSE TO MIDNIGHT...WITH
BRISK NORTH WINDS PICKING UP BEHIND IT.  GENERALLY NORTH WINDS 15-25
MPH EXPECTED BEHIND THE FRONT...BUT WITH THE MODELS HINTING AT 40 MPH
GUST POTENTIAL.  NOT MUCH MOISTURE WITH THE FRONT SO ONLY AN ISOLATED
SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM POSSIBLE ALONG AND BEHIND THE FRONT AS IT MOVES
THROUGH.

ON FRIDAY...WINDS MAY STILL BE A BIT BRISK IN THE MORNING BUT BY LATE
MORNING THEY SHOULD BEGIN TO SHIFT AROUND TO A MORE EASTERLY DIRECTION
WITH DECREASING SPEEDS.  BEHIND THE FRONT ON FRIDAY...TEMPERATURES WILL
BE CONSIDERABLY COOLER THAN TODAY.  THERE COULD BE A FEW ISOLATED
SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS AROUND...BUT OVERALL NOT A LOT OF PRECIPITATION
IS FORESEEN.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........INCREASING CLOUDS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85F.
MIN HUMIDITY........10-15 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS 5-10 MPH UNTIL
                    AROUND 1500...THEN BECOMING SOUTHEAST
                    3-8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......12000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST TO NORTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH UNTIL
                    1400...THEN BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 8 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1500.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM
                    POSSIBLE AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50F.
MAX HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHERLY 5-10 MPH UNTIL AROUND 2400...THEN BECOMING
                    NORTHERLY 15 TO 25 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 40 MPH
                    POSSIBLE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 2300...THEN BECOMING
                    NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 2400...THEN 3.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS
                    POSSIBLE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65F.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........NORTH WINDS AROUND 11 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    BECOMING EASTERLY 5-10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN
                    BECOMING NORTHEASTERLY AROUND 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR...BECOMING GOOD BY 1200.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................3.

$$
FORECASTER...WALROD
REQUESTED BY...PIDC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120906.MTNHE.01/PUB