FNUS75 KBYZ 100129
FWSBYZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR GILEAD...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
729 PM MDT SUN SEP 9 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1854 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 09.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON MONDAY TO MIDNIGHT MDT
TUESDAY NIGHT...

.DISCUSSION...
LIGHT EAST TO NORTHEAST UPSLOPE AND UPCANYON WINDS WILL BECOME
NORTHWEST DURING THE NEXT HOUR AS DOWN SLOPE FLOW DEVELOPS. RIDGE
TOP WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT AND WILL
INCREASE BY MORNING. VERY DRY AIR WILL REMAIN OVER THE FIRE SITE
TONIGHT AND POOR HUMIDITY RECOVERIES ARE EXPECTED. A CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER DAY IS IN STORE TOMORROW AS STRONGER SOUTHWEST WINDS ALOFT
BEGIN MIXING DOWN THE SLOPES. THESE WINDS WILL COMBINE WITH RH'S
IN THE LOWER TEENS ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
TO BRING RED FLAG CONDITIONS. WINDS WILL BECOME NORTHWEST MONDAY
AROUND 9 PM AS A STRONG COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE AREA. THIS
WILL BRING A WIND SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
WILL CONTINUE MONDAY EVENING WITH ANOTHER NIGHT OF POOR RH
RECOVERIES ALTHOUGH WINDS WILL BE DIMINISHING.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1...NO THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....49-54.
MAX HUMIDITY........36-41 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH.
 RIDGETOP...........WEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................2...1 TO 8 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83.
MIN HUMIDITY........11-16 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
 RIDGETOP...........WEST 20 TO 35 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 15 TO 25 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5.

.MONDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................8 PERCENT.
LAL.................3...9 TO 15 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-47.
MAX HUMIDITY........53-58 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING.
 RIDGETOP...........WEST 20 TO 35 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 15 TO 25 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4.

$$
FORECASTER...RICHMOND
REQUESTED BY...TIM KRAMER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120909.GILEA.03/BYZ