FNUS73 KDLH 101258 FWSDLH SPOT FORECAST FOR WESTZONEIA...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN 758 AM CDT MON SEP 10 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0730 CDT ON SEPTEMBER 10. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... TODAY: SOME HIGH CLOUD WILL DRIFT THROUGH TODAY...AS WINDS GRADUALLY INCREASE. WE STILL EXPECT SOUTHERLY WINDS TO INCREASE TO 12 TO 16 MPH SUSTAINED...WITH GUSTS OF 25 TO 30 MPH POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON. MINIMUM HUMIDITY VALUES SHOULD DROP TO 33 TO 38 PERCENT. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL PEAK FROM 71 TO 76 DEGREES. TONIGHT: THE WIND SHOULD DECOUPLE BETWEEN 8 PM AND 10 PM...DECREASING TO 5 TO 10 MPH DURING THAT TIME. THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE EAST TONIGHT...BUT STILL REMAIN WELL WEST OF THE AREA OF INTEREST. WE KEPT THE FORECAST DRY TONIGHT...BUT IT IS WORTH NOTING THAT ONE OF THE MODELS IS DEVELOPING SOME SHOWERS TONIGHT WHICH COULD IMPACT THE AREA. HOWEVER...MOST OTHER MODELS AND THE FACT IT'S SO DRY PRECLUDED US FROM INTRODUCING A CHANCE. LOWS SHOULD DIP TO THE LOWER TO MID FIFTIES. MAX HUMIDITY VALUES WILL BE LOWER TONIGHT...GENERALLY 75 TO 80 PERCENT. TUESDAY: MORE UNCERTAINTY EXISTS DURING THIS PERIOD. THE SPEED OF THE FRONT WILL HAVE A BIG IMPACT ON WINDS. WE EXPECT WIND SPEEDS TO BE FROM 8 TO 13 MPH...WITH SOME GUSTS OF 20 TO 24 MPH BY LATE MORNING. WINDS WILL BE SOUTHERLY...BUT COULD VARY BETWEEN SOUTHWEST IN THE TO MORE SOUTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON. MORNING HUMIDITY VALUES WILL DROP TO 35 TO 40 PERCENT. CLOUDS WILL THICKEN DURING THE DAY...AND THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR A SHOWER OR STORM. ANY RAINFALL WILL BE LIGHT. TUESDAY NIGHT: THE FRONT SHOULD MOVE THROUGH THE AREA BETWEEN 10 PM AND 2 AM...WITH NORTHWEST WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT. WINDS COULD BE A BIT STRONGER AND GUSTY DURING AND A COUPLE HOURS AFTER FRONTAL PASSAGE. WE HAVE A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS...BUT AGAIN AMOUNTS WILL BE LIGHT. LOWS WILL DIP TO 55 TO 60. WEDNESDAY: THERE WILL CONTINUE TO BE A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS WEDNESDAY...BUT IT WILL BE COOLER WITH HIGHS FROM 65 TO 70. WINDS WILL BE WESTERLY AT 7 TO 12 MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY VALUES WILL DROP TO 30 TO 35 PERCENT. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76. MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH INCREASING TO 11 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 28 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2100 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 3500 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 2600 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 20 TO 25 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (9100) INCREASING TO GOOD (41500) LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (75000) EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO GOOD (57100) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM TEMP............56 66 71 74 74 RH..............64 48 41 34 34 20 FT WIND DIR..SE S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..7 11 12 15 16 20 FT WIND GUST.11 20 22 26 27 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-59. MAX HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 13 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6 TO 8 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (12500) DECREASING TO POOR (3450) IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM TEMP............71 66 63 63 60 58 RH..............39 47 54 54 60 69 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S SW 20 FT WIND SPD..13 11 9 8 7 6 20 FT WIND GUST.21 16 13 10 8 7 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 20 PERCENT. MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82. MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 11 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4800) INCREASING TO GOOD (31800). TIME (CDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM TEMP............58 66 74 78 79 78 RH..............69 61 48 40 38 39 20 FT WIND DIR..SW S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..6 8 10 11 11 11 20 FT WIND GUST.7 10 14 17 17 18 $$ FORECASTER...DEAN M. REQUESTED BY...MARK HALE TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120910.WESTZ.01/DLH