FNUS76 KMFR 112046
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR FORT COMPLEX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
146 PM PDT TUE SEP 11 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1110 PDT ON SEPTEMBER 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING FOR COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES FROM TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...

.DISCUSSION...WITH A THERMAL TROUGH ALONG THE COAST, GUSTY
OFFSHORE WINDS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS OVER THE
FIRE. HUMIDITIES HAVE ALREADY DROPPED TODAY AND WILL BE
DRAMATICALLY LOWER AT NIGHT STARTING TONIGHT AND CONTINUING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT, ESPECIALLY MID SLOPES AND RIDGES. THESE
CONDITIONS WILL PROMOTE ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR OVER THE FIRE,
ESPECIALLY AT NIGHT. WE WILL BE ISSUING A RED FLAG WARNING FOR
THESE CONDITIONS OVER THE ENTIRE ZONE WHICH INCLUDES THE FORT
COMPLEX FOR TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. THE THERMAL TROUGH
WILL MOVE INLAND THURSDAY WITH FLOW OVER THE INCIDENT BECOMING
ONSHORE AND HUMIDITIES INCREASING.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55 BOTTOM...65 TOP.
MAX HUMIDITY........35% BOTTOM...20% TOP.
WIND (20 FT)........RIDGES/UPPER SLOPES...NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH
                      IN THE EVENING...INCREASING TO 8 TO 10 MPH AFTER
                      MIDNIGHT. OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 15 MPH.
                    LOWER SLOPES/VALLEYS...DOWNSLOPE 2 TO 4 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80 TO 85 ABOVE 3500 FT...85 TO 92 BELOW 3500 FEET.
MIN HUMIDITY........15 TO 20 PERCENT ABOVE 3500 FT.
                    10 TO 15 PERCENT BELOW 3500 FT.
WIND (20 FT)........RIDGES/UPPER SLOPES...NORTHEAST 8 TO 10 MPH THROUGH
                      THE MID MORNING, THEN BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 8 MPH.
                    LOWER SLOPES/VALLEYS...BECOMING UPSLOPE 2 TO 4 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...WRIGHT
REQUESTED BY...MIKE POWELL
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120911.FORTC.01/MFR