FNUS73 KDLH 130047 FWSDLH SPOT FORECAST FOR PARLEY FIRE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN 747 PM CDT WED SEP 12 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1941 CDT ON SEPTEMBER 12. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...VERY DRY CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION... .DISCUSSION... TONIGHT: A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM NEAR JAMES BAY AND HUDSON BAY WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE WEATHER ACROSS THE NORTHLAND OVERNIGHT. VERY DRY AIR DEVELOPED WITH LARGE SCALE MIXING TODAY AND IT WILL HAVE A TOUGH TIME RECOVERING TOO MUCH OVERNIGHT. DEWPOINTS ARE CURRENTLY IN THE 20S ACROSS THE ELY AND SEA GULL AREAS. THE WINDS HAVE DECREASED CONSIDERABLY THIS EVENING AND WE WILL CONTINUE TO SEE LIGHT WINDS OVERNIGHT. THURSDAY: ANOTHER DRY DAY IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION. THINK RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL BE PERHAPS A BIT HIGHER THAN THEY WERE TODAY BUT WILL NEED TO TAKE A LOOK AS THE NEW MODELS COME IN OVERNIGHT. DO THINK THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES TO DROP INTO THE 20 TO 25 PERCENT RANGE ONCE AGAIN. WILL GO WITH A 25 TO 30 PERCENT FOR NOW BUT DO NOT BE SURPRISED IF LATER FORECASTS DROP HUMIDITY. IN ADDITION...SOME GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP AS WE MIX DOWN DRIER AIR ONCE AGAIN. FRIDAY AND SATURDAY: DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR FRIDAY AND SATURDAY... AS HIGH PRESSURE TAKES OVER ACROSS THE REGION. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY WITH NEARLY FULL SUNSHINE. WINDS WILL BE FAIRLY LIGHT ON FRIDAY...BUT HUMIDITY VALUES WILL BE LOW ONCE AGAIN. ON SATURDAY...WINDS WILL INCREASE FROM THE SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST...AND WE MAY VERY WELL SEE RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES DROP BELOW 20 PERCENT. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-46. MAX HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT SOUTHWEST TO WEST WIND. MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 350 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (94900) DECREASING TO POOR (3100) IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT...THEN INCREASING TO POOR (5200) LATE. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM TEMP............61 58 55 52 50 47 RH..............35 39 44 51 53 61 20 FT WIND DIR..SW W W W W W 20 FT WIND SPD..5 7 5 4 3 3 20 FT WIND GUST.6 8 6 5 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 20 PERCENT. MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-62. MIN HUMIDITY........25-30 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST 9 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS OF 15 TO 20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (29700) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (129100) LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (139300) EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO EXCELLENT (118000) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM TEMP............44 51 57 59 60 60 RH..............70 53 39 30 28 30 20 FT WIND DIR..W W W NW NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD..4 7 9 10 11 9 20 FT WIND GUST.5 8 12 14 16 12 $$ FORECASTER...DEAN P. REQUESTED BY...MARK HALE TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120912.PARLE.01/DLH