FNUS76 KMFR 130152
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR FORT COMPLEX...USFS KNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
615 PM PDT WED SEP 12 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1720 PDT ON SEPTEMBER 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE EARLY THURSDAY
MORNING AS A THERMAL TROUGH REMAINS ALONG THE COAST. WINDS WILL BE
WEAKER THAN ON WEDNESDAY MORNING BUT CONTINUED POOR RECOVERIES ARE
EXPECTED.  WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE WEST AND NORTHWEST IN THE
AFTERNOON. EXPECT VERY WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS THURSDAY AS THE
RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS CENTERED OVER THE AREA. THURSDAY NIGHT
LIGHT SOUTHEAST WINDS ARE FORECAST. THEN...ON FRIDAY
A WEAK AND DRY TROUGH PUSHES INLAND LATE IN THE DAY. THIS MAY BRING
AN INCREASE IN THE AFTERNOON WINDS. ALSO EXPECT HIGH TEMPERATURES TO
LOWER A FEW DEGREES ON FRIDAY.

THEN...WARM AND  DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
RIDGES WILL CONTINUE TO SEE POOR TO MODERATE RECOVERIES AND LIGHT
EAST TO SOUTHEAST FLOW OVERNIGHT. EARLY NEXT WEEK A WEAK UPPER LOW
APPROACHES THE COAST AND PERSISTS NEAR THE AREA. THIS MAY BRING SOME
INSTABILITY TO THE BURN AREA DURING THE AFTERNOONS MONDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. EXPECT LITTLE CHANGE IN THE WINDS...EXCEPT AFTERNOON
WINDS MAY INCREASE IF THE LOW PUSHES INLAND MONDAY INTO TUESDAY.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY..
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-90 RIDGES AND 95-99 VALLEYS.
MIN HUMIDITY........10-15 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....VALLEYS...EAST WINDS 0 TO 2 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING  BECOMING LIGHT WINDS...THEN BECOMING
                    UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY  1 TO 3 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    RIDGES...EAST TO SOUTHEAST 2 TO 4 MPH...BECOMING
                    WEST TO NORTHWEST 1 TO 3 MPH IN THE MID AND LATE
                    AFTERNOON.   GUSTS UP TO 6 MPH IN THE MORNING.
WIND (20 FT)........VALLEYS...EAST WINDS 2 TO 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING BECOMING LIGHT WINDS...THEN BECOMING
                    UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4 TO 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    RIDGES...EAST TO SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH...
                     BECOMING WEST TO NORTHWEST 4 TO 8 MPH IN THE
                     MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 15 MPH IN
                     THE MORNING.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR..
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-57 VALLEYS AND 62-65 RIDGES
MAX HUMIDITY........30-40 PERCENT RIDGES AND 50-60 PERCENT VALLEYS
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....VALLEYS: NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY
                     IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT AROUND SUNSET.
                    RIDGES: NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 2 TO 3 MPH IN THE
                     EVENING BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN
                     THE EVENING...THEN BECOMING SOUTHEAST 1 TO 2
                     MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT
WIND (20 FT)........VALLEYS: NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY
                     IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT AROUND SUNSET.
                    RIDGES: NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY
                     IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE
                     EVENING THEN BECOMING SOUTHEAST 2 TO 5 MPH
                     AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY..
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-86 RIDGES AND 92-96 VALLEYS.
MIN HUMIDITY........12-18 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....VALLEYS: LIGHT WINDS IN THE MORNING...BECOMING
                      UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 2 TO 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    RIDGES: SOUTHEAST 0 TO 1 MPH IN THE MORNING...
                      SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH LATE IN THE
                      MORNING...THEN BECOMING
                      WEST 2 TO 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON...SHIFTING TO
                      THE NORTHWEST IN THE LATE AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........VALLEYS: LIGHT WINDS IN THE MORNING...BECOMING
                    UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY  6 TO 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    RIDGES: SOUTHEAST 2 TO 4 MPH IN THE MORNING...
                     SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH LATE IN THE
                     MORNING...THEN BECOMING WEST 6 TO 12 MPH IN THE
                     AFTERNOON...WITH WINDS SHIFTING TO THE
                     NORTHWEST LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...CLARSTROM
REQUESTED BY...MIKE POWELL
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120912.FORTC.01/MFR