FNUS73 KDLH 131450 FWSDLH SPOT FORECAST FOR PARLEY LAKE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN 950 AM CDT THU SEP 13 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0931 CDT ON SEPTEMBER 13. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... .TODAY...EXPECT A COOL AND MOSTLY CLOUDY DAY. DEEP MIXING WILL DEVELOP TODAY...WHICH WILL PROMOTE GUSTY WNW TO NW WINDS AND HELP TO DRAW DOWN DRY FROM ALOFT TO THE SURFACE. ANTICIPATE GUSTS OF 15 TO 20 MPH FROM LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH AT LEAST MID AFTERNOON. THE MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY SHOULD GET DOWN TO A MINIMUM NEAR 40 PERCENT...BUT THERE MAY BE A BRIEF PERIOD OF 35 PERCENT IF THERE IS A STRAY WIND GUST THAT DRAWS DOWN MUCH DRIER AIR FROM ALOFT. SPRINKLES AND ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE IN THE FORECAST...BUT IT IS BEST TO EXPECT LITTLE TO PRECIPITATION. HOWEVER...THERE MAY BE SLIGHTLY MORE GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS IF A STRAY SHOWER COMES NEAR THE WILDFIRE. THE WINDS WILL RELAX TONIGHT AND BECOME NEARLY CALM AFTER MIDNIGHT WITH THE COLD NIGHT IN STORE FOR NORTHERN MINNESOTA. THE HUMIDITY SHOULD RECOVER TO ABOVE 80 PERCENT. FRIDAY LOOKS LIKE A WARMER DAY WITH LIGHT WESTERLY WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. DRY CONDITIONS WILL STILL DEVELOP WITH THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY FALLING TO BETWEEN 25 AND 30 PERCENT. SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SPRINKLES IN THE MORNING...THEN ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 20 PERCENT. MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63. MIN HUMIDITY........40-44 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST 9 TO 12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7450 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (22000) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (100000) LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (143000) EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO EXCELLENT (139600) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM TEMP............46 56 58 60 60 RH..............52 50 46 44 44 20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 12 11 10 20 FT WIND GUST.10 15 18 16 14 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLEAR. AREAS OF FROST AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-35. MAX HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH BECOMING LIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (41600) DECREASING TO POOR (1100) IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM TEMP............55 50 45 42 38 34 RH..............51 61 73 79 85 92 20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD..8 6 4 2 2 2 20 FT WIND GUST.10 7 5 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68. MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 3 TO 5 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4200 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 6500 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 4700 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (7700) INCREASING TO GOOD (39500) LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (65000) EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO GOOD (36800) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM TEMP............34 46 57 62 65 64 RH..............85 55 38 33 31 32 20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W 20 FT WIND SPD..2 3 4 5 4 4 20 FT WIND GUST.3 5 6 7 6 6 $$ FORECASTER...GEOFF REQUESTED BY...JESSI OSSEFOORT TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120913.PARLE.01/DLH