FNUS73 KDLH 151506 FWSDLH SPOT FORECAST FOR PARLEY...U.S.F.S. NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN 1006 AM CDT SAT SEP 15 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0943 CDT ON SEPTEMBER 15. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST TODAY...AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE DAKOTAS. MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES WILL OCCUR...WITH JUST SOME HIGH CLOUDS DRIFTING THROUGH. WINDS WILL BE INCREASING FROM THE SOUTH OR SOUTH SOUTHEAST. SOME GUSTS TO ABOUT 17 MPH POSSIBLE. MINIMUM HUMIDITY VALUES WILL DROP TO 27 TO 32 PERCENT. THE COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO REACH THE IRON RANGE AROUND 6 AM...THEN CONTINUE THROUGH THE ARROWHEAD SUNDAY MORNING...SWITCHING WINDS TO THE NORTHWEST. AT THIS TIME...WE KEPT TONIGHT DRY. SOME OF THE MODELS DO SHOW SOME LIGHT SHOWERS DEVELOPING LATE TONIGHT...BUT IT LOOKS TOO DRY AND THE FORCING IS NOT THAT STRONG. WE WILL REEVALUATE THIS AFTERNOON AND WILL INCLUDE ANY CHANCE FOR RAIN IN THE FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST IF NEEDED. THE FRONT SHOULD CLEAR THE BURNSITE BY 10 AM...WITH A CHANCE FOR AN ISOLATED AFTERNOON SHOWER. ANY PRECIPITATION AT THE BURNSITE FROM THIS SYSTEM WILL BE LIGHT. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73. MIN HUMIDITY........27-32 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS 4 TO 9 MPH INCREASING TO 8 TO 13 MPH...WITH SOME GUSTS TO 17 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2900 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 5500 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (5500) INCREASING TO GOOD (43600) LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (84100) EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO EXCELLENT (60400) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM TEMP............61 69 71 70 RH..............51 36 28 31 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..8 9 10 9 20 FT WIND GUST.13 17 16 14 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....44-49. MAX HUMIDITY........83 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 3 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 350 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST LATE. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (23000) DECREASING TO POOR (1200). TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM TEMP............65 60 55 53 50 48 RH..............41 53 66 69 74 80 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S W 20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 5 4 3 1 20 FT WIND GUST.8 7 6 5 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 20 PERCENT. MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72. MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3500) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (92800). TIME (CDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM TEMP............48 56 64 69 70 67 RH..............83 63 48 44 41 44 20 FT WIND DIR..W NW NW N NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD..1 7 9 11 11 9 20 FT WIND GUST. 13 16 16 15 $$ FORECASTER...DEAN M. REQUESTED BY...ANDREW NELSON TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120915.PARLE.01/DLH