FNUS72 KGSP 170137
FWSGSP

SPOT FORECAST FOR LEWELLYN FIRE...GREAT SMOKY MTNS NP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
937 PM EDT SUN SEP 16 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2128 EDT ON SEPTEMBER 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL WEAKEN AND SHIFT EAST OF THE AREA... ALLOWING A
STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE GULF COAST TO TRACK NORTHEAST
INTO EASTERN TENNESSEE ON MONDAY.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS.
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. PATCHY FOG LATE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300-5300 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 1200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 10 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............91     90     93     95     96     96
WEATHER COV.........SCTTRD ISOLTD ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP................77     70     67     65     64     63
RH..................57     76     87     90     90     95
20 FT WIND..........W 2    NW 0   S 1    S 1    SE 2   SE 2
20 FT WIND GUST.....5      5                           5
MIX HGT (FT)........5300   3200   2100   1500   1200   1200
TRANSPORT WIND......SW 6   S 6    S 7    S 7    S 8    S 9
LVORI...............2      4      6      6      6      7
ADI.................24     3      3      3      4      4

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING. THUNDERSTORMS AND WIDESPREAD
                    SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........76 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 6 MPH LATE.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-3000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3400-4300 FT
                    AGL LATE.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 14 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............97     98     99     99     99     97
WEATHER COV.........SCTTRD SCTTRD NUMRUS NUMRUS WIDSPD WIDSPD
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP................62     63     68     72     74     74
RH..................97     89     84     79     76     78
20 FT WIND..........SE 2   SE 2   SE 2   SE 2   SE 1   S 2
20 FT WIND GUST.....5                    5      5      10
MIX HGT (FT)........1200   1200   2200   2800   3000   3900
TRANSPORT WIND......SW 9   SW 7   S 5    S 5    S 6    S 12
LVORI...............7      5      4      4      3      3
ADI.................4      11     12     14     18     42

$$
FORECASTER...MCAVOY
REQUESTED BY...RANGER STRINGFELLOW
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120916.LEWEL.01/GSP