FNUS73 KBIS 181333
FWSBIS

SPOT FORECAST FOR RX W PELICAN...THE NATURE CONSERVANCY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
833 AM CDT TUE SEP 18 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON SEPTEMBER 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE TROUGH EXTENDED FROM EASTERN
SASKATCHEWAN NEAR ESTEVAN TO NEAR WILLISTON TO BETWEEN BEACH AND
DICKINSON AT 8 AM CDT. THE TROUGH IS FORECAST TO MOVE EAST AND
REACH THE BURN SITE AROUND NOON TO 1 PM CDT. SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST
WINDS OF 10 TO 15 MP AHEAD OF THE TROUGH WILL BECOME WEST AT 20 TO
25 MPH BEHIND IT. TEMPERATURES WILL RISE INTO THE 70S ALONG AND
BEHIND THE TROUGH...AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS EXPECTED TO DROP
BELOW 30 PERCENT IN THE TROUGH ZONE. HUMIDITY IS EXPECTED TO BE AS
LOW AS AROUND 20 PERCENT BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON.

A COLD FRONT WILL ENTER THE STATE EARLY THIS EVENING AND WINDS
WILL BECOME NORTHWEST...AND REMAIN NORTHWESTERLY ALL DAY ON
WEDNESDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........62 AT IGNITION...MAX 75.
RH..................35 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 21 PERCENT.
WIND................WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 15 MPH AT IGNITION...
                    OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    WEST 15 TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5
MODERATE AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT.

TIME (CDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........55     39     25     18     9      27
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............45     52     62     70     72     72
RH..............58     49     35     24     21     23
20 FT WIND......S 11   SW 10  SW 14  W 18   W 20   NW 14
20 FT WIND GUST.              15     20     25     15
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      5      5      5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 46.
RH..................MAX 74 PERCENT.
WIND................NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 11 TO
                    16 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MARGINAL.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 64.
RH..................MIN 24 PERCENT.
WIND................BREEZY. NORTHWEST WINDS 17 TO 25 MPH INCREASING
                    TO 24 TO 29 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT.

$$
FORECASTER...VINING
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS GORDON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120918.RXWPE.01/BIS