FNUS76 KPQR 220005
FWSPQR

SPOT FORECAST FOR CASCADE CREEK...WIIMT 3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
505 PM PDT FRI SEP 21 2012

FORECAST IS FOR THE CASCADE CREEK IAP FOR SATURDAY SEPTEMBER 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY NIGHT FOR ABUNDANT LIGHTNING COMBINED WITH VERY DRY
FUELS...

.DISCUSSION...A DEEP MARINE LAYER IS AFFECTING WESTERN PORTIONS OF
GIFFORD PINCHOT NATIONAL FOREST...BUT THE COOL MARINE AIR HAD YET
TO REALLY AFFECT THE CASCADE CREEK FIRE AREA AS OF FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
LOW CLOUDS MAY DEEPEN ENOUGH TO AFFECT LOWER PORTIONS OF THE FIRE
THIS (SATURDAY) MORNING. AREAS ABOVE THE MARINE LAYER REMAIN
WARM...DRY...AND UNSTABLE AND HUMIDITY RECOVERIES WILL REMAIN
MODERATE TO POOR ALONG THE THERMAL BELT AND ABOVE.

MEANWHILE AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE THE
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH TONIGHT (SATURDAY NIGHT). THESE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE MAINLY HIGH BASED...AND WILL NOT LIKELY
PRODUCE MUCH IN THE WAY OF RAINFALL. LIGHTNING MAY CAUSE NEW
IGNITIONS AND OF COURSE THE POTENTIAL FOR GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS.

COOLER TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE WEEKEND ALONG
WITH IMPROVING RELATIVE HUMIDITY. ONSHORE FLOW WILL LIKELY KEEP
TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

.TODAY (SATURDAY)...

*** NOTE: WINDS GUSTY AND ERRATIC NEAR ANY THUNDERSTORMS ***

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR (%).............LESS THAN 5 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-68.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST 2-5 MPH...BECOMING WEST TO SOUTHWEST
                    4-8 MPH WITH AFTERNOON GUSTS TO 15 MPH. WINDS
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC NEAR ANY THUNDERSTORMS.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST TO SOUTHEAST 4-8 MPH.


.TONIGHT...

*** NOTE: WINDS GUSTY AND ERRATIC NEAR ANY THUNDERSTORMS ***

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. FOG
                    DEVELOPING LOWER WEST SLOPES LATE.
CWR (%).............LESS THAN 5 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
MAX HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT NEAR TREELINE...100 PERCENT LOWEST
                    ELEVATIONS.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH TO NORTHEAST 4-8 MPH. GUSTS TO 15 MPH.
                    WINDS GUSTY AND ERRATIC NEAR ANY THUNDERSTORMS.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 7-14 MPH.


.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
CWR (%).............NEAR ZERO.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-65.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST 3-6 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH TO NORTHEAST 8-16 MPH.


.OUTLOOK FOR MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
ASIDE FROM A WEAK DISTURBANCE BRINGING THE POSSIBILITY OF SHOWERS
MONDAY NIGHT...THE GENERAL TREND WILL BE BACK TOWARD WARMER AND
DRIER WEATHER EARLY TO MIDDLE NEXT WEEK. ONSHORE FLOW WILL
CONTINUE AND KEEP TEMPERATURES FROM GETTING TOO WARM. EXPECT LOWS
IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S...AND HIGHS RISING FROM THE MID AND
UPPER 60S MONDAY TO THE LOWER AND MID 70S WEDNESDAY. NORTHWEST
WINDS 8 TO 15 MPH MONDAY WILL BECOME MORE TERRAIN-DRIVEN TUESDAY
AND WEDNESDAY.

$$
FORECASTER...WEAGLE
REQUESTED BY...COLIN ROBERTSON
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120921.CASCA.01/PQR