FNUS75 KRIW 240911
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR NORTH BUFFALO...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
311 AM MDT MON SEP 24 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2117 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WEATHER SYSTEM MOVES FROM NORTHERN NEVADA TODAY
INTO NORTH CENTRAL UTAH BY TUESDAY MORNING AND TO THE UTAH/COLORADO
BORDER TUESDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL BRING UNSETTLED WEATHER TO THE
FIRE AREA TODAY AND TUESDAY IN THE FORM OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR BETWEEN 0.25
INCHES AND 0.50 INCHES OF RAIN FROM THIS SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT 2
DAYS. TEMPERATURES WILL BE COOLER AND HUMIDITY WILL BE HIGHER.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...AR

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. ISOLATED MORNING SHOWERS. THEN
                    SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60 AT 7500 FEET...AROUND 50 AT 10000 FEET.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY AT 4 TO 7 MPH.

                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WIND TO 15 MPH
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.

RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST AT 6 TO 10 MPH. WIND GUSTS TO
                    25 MPH NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.

LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.31 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 4000-5000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR...BECOMING FAIR BY 1300.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM
                    POSSIBLE IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45 AT 7500 FEET...38-42 AT 10000 FEET.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-90 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY AT 3 TO 5 MPH AFTER
                    SUNSET.

RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST AT 5 TO 10 MPH.

LAL.................2 UNTIL 2100...THEN 1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.31 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 1000-2000 FT AGL BY MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST AT 5 TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL SUNSET...THEN POOR.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS.
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60 AT 7500 FEET...AROUND 50 AT 10000 FEET.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY AT 4 TO 7 MPH.

                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WIND TO 15 MPH EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.

RIDGE TOP WINDS.....EAST TO SOUTHEAST AT 5 TO 10 MPH UNTIL 1500.
                    WIND BECOMING NORTH TO NORTHWEST AT 5 TO 10 MPH
                    AFTER 1500.
                    WIND GUSTS TO 25 MPH NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.

LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.20 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 4000-5000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST TO SOUTHEAST AT 5 TO 10 MPH UNTIL 1500.
                    WIND BECOMING NORTH TO NORTHWEST AT 5 TO 10 MPH
                    AFTER 1500.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS IN THE EVENING.
LOWS 35 TO 40. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 30S. HIGHS AROUND 60. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.
WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...ROSS
REQUESTED BY...LOOKOUT
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120923.NORTH.01/RIW