FNUS75 KBYZ 241129
FWSBYZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR GILEAD...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
529 AM MDT MON SEP 24 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0500 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST OUT OF
IDAHO TODAY. THIS DISTURBANCE WILL BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORM TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY TO THE
FIRE SITE. THE LOW WILL SPREAD INCREASING CLOUD COVER OVER THE
AREA ALONG WITH AN INCREASE IN LOW LEVEL MOISTURE. RH'S ARE ONLY
EXPECTED TO FALL INTO THE UPPER 20 PERCENT RANGE TODAY WITH MID 30
PERCENT RANGE EXPECTED ON TUESDAY. AREA TERRAIN WILL CONTINUE TO
BRING LIGHT UPSLOPE/VALLEY WINDS DURING THE DAY WITH
DOWNSLOPE/VALLEY WINDS OVERNIGHT. ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT DO
DEVELOP WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................2...1 TO 8 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-70.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......UPSLOPE/VALLEY WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
 RIDGETOP...........NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN SCATTERED
                    RAIN SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................21 PERCENT.
LAL.................3...9 TO 15 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-48.
MAX HUMIDITY........65-73 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......DOWN SLOPE/VALLEY 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING LIGHT LATE
                    TONIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
 RIDGETOP...........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................13 PERCENT.
LAL.................2...1 TO 8 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-66.
MIN HUMIDITY........36-41 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY....... LIGHT UPSLOPE/VALLEY IN THE MORNING...INCREASING
                    TO 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........LIGHT WINDS.
HAINES INDEX........5.

$$
FORECASTER...RICHMOND
REQUESTED BY...KEVIN HILLARD
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120924.GILEA.01/BYZ