FNUS76 KSGX 242211
FWSSGX

SPOT FORECAST FOR SHOCKEY...CDF SBU
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
311 PM PDT MON SEP 24 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1325 PDT ON SEPTEMBER 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH OVER SOUTHERN NEVADA AND NORTHERN ARIZONA
IS MOVING SOUTH TODAY AND WILL BE OVER NORTHERN MEXICO TONIGHT.
HIGH PRESSURE IS REBUILDING ALONG THE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA COAST.
THIS COMBINATION WILL KEEP GENERAL WINDS AROUND 30 MPH ACROSS
THE INCIDENT AND RESULT IN STRONGER WIND GUSTS TODAY.

ON WEDNESDAY MOSTLY SLOPE DRIVEN WIND AS GENERAL WINDS FALL BELOW
10 MPH DUE TO RELAXING PRESSURE GRADIENTS.

FOR THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...CONTINUED WARM AND MUGGY WITH
INCREASING CLOUDS. THUNDERSTORM BUILDUPS MAY BE SEEN OVER MEXICO.
THIS WILL BE THE REMNANTS OF HURRICANE MIRIAM. FOR NOW...NO
WETTING RAIN IS FORECAST OVER THE INCIDENT.

.OPERATIONAL PERIOD FROM 0700 PDT TUESDAY TO 0700 PDT WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY/CLEAR.
TEMPERATURES........HIGH AROUND 84.      LOW AROUND 60.
HUMIDITY............MIN 25 PERCENT.      MAX 45 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WIND......0700-1030 PDT...SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH GUSTS 25 MPH.
                    1030-2130 PDT...WEST 10 TO 15 MPH GUSTS TO 35 MPH.
                    2130-0700 PDT...SOUTHWEST 3 MPH WITH GUSTS 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0700-1030 PDT...500-2000 FT AGL
                    1030-1900 PDT...3000-4000 FT AGL
                    1900-0700 PDT...500-1000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 25 MPH.


.OUTLOOK FOR NEXT OPERATIONAL PERIOD...WEDNESDAY SEPTEMBER 26...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY/CLEAR.
TEMPERATURES........HIGH AROUND 86. LOW AROUND 64.
HUMIDITY............MIN 17 PERCENT. MAX 45 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WIND......VARIABLE/DOWNSLOPE 1 TO 3 MPH UNTIL MID MORNING THEN
                    SOUTHWEST/UPSLOPE 3 TO 5 MPH WITH GUSTS 10 MPH
                    LATE MORNING THROUGH EARLY EVENING...THEN
                    VARIABLE/DOWNSLOPE 1 TO 3 MPH OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL UNTIL MID MORNING...THEN LIFTING TO
                    6500 FT AGL BY LATE MORNING...LOWERING TO
                    4500 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.
LOWS NEAR 65. EYE LEVEL WINDS EAST 5 MPH WITH GUSTS 10 MPH.
MINIMUM RH 30 PERCENT. MAX HUMIDITY 80 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...ROB BALFOUR
REQUESTED BY...DENNY O NEILL  FBAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120924.SHOCK.02/SGX