FNUS75 KRIW 261015 FWSRIW SPOT FORECAST FOR ALPINE LAKE...BIA WRA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY 415 AM MDT WED SEP 26 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1848 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 25. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... VERY LITTLE CHANGE TODAY...FROM WHAT HAS OCCURRED THE LAST COUPLE OF DAYS. A DRIER PATTERN BEGINS TO SET UP THURSDAY...BUT SOME SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH SATURDAY. DRY AND UNSEASONABLY WARM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...ALTHOUGH WINDS AT THIS TIME ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN RELATIVELY LIGHT. THUS...THE BEST CHANCE OF RECEIVING ANOTHER WETTING PRECIPITATION EVENT ON THE FIRE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS WILL BE TODAY AND THIS EVENING. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... ...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT... FORECASTER...MURRELL .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS THIS MORNING. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY A THUNDERSTORM IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW POSSIBLE ABOVE 10000 FEET. MAX TEMPERATURE.....43 AT 11000 FEET. 56 AT 8500 FEET. 66 AT 6500 FEET. MIN HUMIDITY........50-60 PERCENT ABOVE 8500 FEET. 35-45 PERCENT AT OR BELOW 8500 FEET. 20 FOOT WINDS.......VARIABLE 4-8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED AT TIMES DUE TO SHOWER AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. RIDGE TOP WINDS.....EAST TO SOUTHEAST 5-10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED AT TIMES DUE TO SHOWER AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. LAL.................1 UNTIL NOON...THEN 2. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.15 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST TO SOUTHEAST 5-10 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW POSSIBLE ABOVE 10000 FEET. MIN TEMPERATURE.....33-38 AT 11000 FT. 40-45 AT 8500 FT 45-50 AT 6500 FT. MAX HUMIDITY........70-80 PERCENT. 20 FOOT WINDS.......VARIABLE 3-6 MPH. RIDGE TOP WINDS.....EAST TO SOUTHEAST 5-10 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. LAL.................2 UNTIL 9 PM...THEN 1. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.10 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST TO SOUTHEAST 5-10 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY. AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM POSSIBLE IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....50 AT 11000 FEET. 60 AT 8500 FEET. 68 AT 6500 FEET. MIN HUMIDITY........40-50 PERCENT ABOVE 8500 FEET. 30-40 PERCENT AT OR BELOW 8500 FEET. 20 FOOT WINDS.......VARIABLE 4-8 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 15 MPH. RIDGE TOP WINDS.....VARIABLE 5-10 MPH. LAL.................1 UNTIL NOON...THEN 2. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.LESS THAN 5 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......6200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....VARIABLE 5-10 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 50S HIGHER ELEVATIONS...TO AROUND 70 IN THE LOWER ELEVATIONS. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S HIGHER ELEVATIONS...TO AROUND 70 IN THE LOWER ELEVATIONS. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S HIGHER ELEVATIONS...TO AROUND 70 IN THE LOWER ELEVATIONS. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...MURRELL REQUESTED BY...COLE PARKER REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120925.ALPIN.01/RIW