FNUS76 KSGX 252102
FWSSGX

SPOT FORECAST FOR SHOCKEY...CDF SDU
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
202 PM PDT TUE SEP 25 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1400 PDT ON SEPTEMBER 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER THE GREAT BASIN THROUGH THURSDAY WILL
CREATE GENERAL WINDS FROM THE EAST AND BRING DRYING AND WARMING TREND.
THESE SHOULD BE STRONG ENOUGH TO WEAKEN THE NORMAL WEST WINDS DURING
THE AFTERNOON HOURS...BUT NOT COMPLETELY OVERCOME THEM OR STOP
A WIND SHIFT IN THE AFTERNOON.

LOOKING FURTHER AHEAD...FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...THE REMNANTS OF
HURRICANE MIRIAM GET CARRIED VERY CLOSE TO THE INCIDENT.
LATEST MODEL RUNS HAVE TRENDED TOWARDS A WETTER AIR MASS MOVING
ACROSS THE INCIDENT WITH MEASURABLE RAINFALL AMOUNTS EACH DAY.
HAVE INCLUDED LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL AND CHANCE OF WETTING RAINS
IN OUTLOOK.


.OPERATIONAL PERIOD...0700 PDT WEDNESDAY TO 0700 PDT THURSDAY

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY DAY            MOSTLY CLEAR OVERNIGHT.
TEMPERATURES........MAX 87               MIN AROUND 52.
HUMIDITY............MIN 15 PERCENT       MAX 65 PERCENT.

EYE LEVEL WIND......0700-1100 PDT EAST 2 MPH GUSTS 5 MPH
                    1100-1900 PDT WEST 5 MPH WITH GUSTS 10 MPH
                    1900-0200 PDT VARIABLE/CALM 0-2 MPH
                    0200-0700 PDT EAST/NORTHEAST 4 MPH GUSTS 10 MPH

MIXING HEIGHT.......0700-0930 PDT...500-1000 FT AGL
                    0930-1100 PDT...LIFTING TO 4000 FT AGL
                    1100-1600 PDT...LIFTING TO 6000 FT AGL
                    1600-1900 PDT...LOWERING TO 4000 FT AGL EARLY
                    1900-0700 PDT...LOWERING TO 500 FT AGL OR LESS

MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 5 MPH.

.OUTLOOK FOR THURSDAY OPERATIONAL PERIOD...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY DAY   MOSTLY CLEAR OVERNIGHT.
TEMPERATURES........HIGH AROUND 88.... LOW AROUND 59.
HUMIDITY............MIN 15 PERCENT...  MAX 45 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WIND......MOSTLY EAST 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS 20 MPH
CHC WETTING RAIN....0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL OR LESS IN THE MORNING...BECOMING
                    5500 TO 7500 FT AGL LATE MORNING THROUGH LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 5 MPH.

.FORECAST OUTLOOK
.FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF AFTERNOON
THUNDERSTORMS WITH LAL 2. EYE LEVEL WINDS EAST TO SOUTHEAST 5 MPH
WITH GUSTS 15 MPH. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S.
MIN RH 30-35 PERCENT. AX RH 80 PERCENT. CHANCE OF WETTING RAIN 10
PERCENT FRIDAY INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT SATURDAY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS
LESS THAN A TENTH OF AN INCH EACH DAY.

$$
FORECASTER...ROB BALFOUR
REQUESTED BY...DENNY O NEILL
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120925.SHOCK.01/SGX