FNUS75 KTFX 251120
FWSTFX

SPOT FORECAST FOR ELBOW PASS COMPLEX...GREAT FALLS DISPATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
520 AM MDT TUE SEP 25 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0423 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK STORM SYSTEM WITH AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT
WILL BRING INCREASED INSTABILITY THIS AFTERNOON WITH AN ISOLATED
SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM POSSIBLE. LITTLE PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED
AND ANY THUNDERSTORM COULD PRODUCE GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS. THE
FRONTAL PASSAGE IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 1800 AND 2100 WITH WINDS
SHIFTING NORTHWEST AND INCREASING BRIEFLY WITH ISOLATED WIND GUSTS
UP TO 20 MPH POSSIBLE A FEW HOURS POST-FRONTAL PASSAGE. WINDS
WILL SHIFT WESTERLY AND BECOME LIGHT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GOOD RELATIVE
HUMIDITY RECOVERIES ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT WITH MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES NEAR 30 PERCENT ON WEDNESDAY. MLV

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WIND......WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
LAL.................1 BEFORE 1500...THEN 2.
HAINES..............3.
INVERSION...........WILL BREAK AROUND 1000.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-43.
MAX HUMIDITY........70-80 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST-NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH BECOMING WEST
                    5 TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. WITH FRONTAL
                    PASSAGE ISOLATED WIND GUSTS TO 20 MPH POSSIBLE.
RIDGE TOP WIND......WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
LAL.................2 BEFORE 2200...THEN 1.
HAINES..............3.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....59-66.
MIN HUMIDITY........26-31 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES..............2.

$$
FORECASTER...VANDENHEUVEL
REQUESTED BY...GREAT FALLS DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120925.ELBOW.01/TFX