FNUS74 KLZK 261120 FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR IRONS FORK 2...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 620 AM CDT WED SEP 26 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON SEPTEMBER 26. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY MOVE THROUGH MISSOURI TODAY AND TONIGHT. BEST CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY WILL BE IN NORTH ARKANSAS...CLOSEST TO THE FRONT AND INSTABILITY. OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS RAIN CHANCES WILL SPREAD SOUTHWARD AS THE FRONT MOVES SOUTH. THE FRONT MOVES OUT OF THE STATE BY SUNDAY MORNING AND HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURE.........82 AT IGNITION...MAX 89. RH..................53 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 42 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH AROUND 9 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 20 TO 28 MPH UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND 18 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 4900 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....2. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTH AT 7 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........PC PC PC PC PC PC PC WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............82 85 86 87 88 88 87 RH..............53 49 46 44 43 42 43 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 9 10 10 10 9 20 FT WIND GUST.9 9 9 11 11 11 9 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.5 5 5 6 6 6 5 EYE LVL WND GST.5 5 5 6 6 6 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...4900 FT MSL TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.22 20 20 18 18 18 18 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 20 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 69. RH..................MAX 78 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHWEST 15 TO 23 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 2700 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....6. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC WEATHER COV.....SCH WEATHER TYPE....TSM TEMP............84 81 78 76 75 74 73 72 71 71 70 70 RH..............46 50 56 59 63 65 67 69 71 72 74 76 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 5 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 20 FT WIND GUST.7 6 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 EYE LVL WND GST.4 4 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 MIX HGT (KFT)... TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.18 20 21 21 22 23 23 23 21 20 17 15 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 .THURSDAY... 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 3 20 FT WIND GUST.4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 $$ FORECASTER...L PYLE REQUESTED BY...ADAM STROTHERS TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120926.IRONS.01/LZK