FNUS74 KLZK 261150 FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR J09B WEST...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 647 AM CDT WED SEP 26 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1130 CDT ON SEPTEMBER 26. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY MOVE THROUGH MISSOURI TODAY AND TONIGHT. BEST CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY WILL BE IN NORTH ARKANSAS...CLOSEST TO THE FRONT AND INSTABILITY. OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS RAIN CHANCES WILL SPREAD SOUTHWARD AS THE FRONT MOVES SOUTH. THE FRONT MOVES OUT OF THE STATE BY SUNDAY MORNING AND HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURE.........83 AT IGNITION...MAX 88. RH..................57 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 44 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH AROUND 6 MPH INCREASING TO 17 TO 24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 4800 FT MSL. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTH AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 8 MPH. TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........PC PC PC PC PC PC PC WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............83 85 86 87 87 87 86 RH..............57 52 48 47 45 45 48 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 8 8 8 7 20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 7 8 8 8 7 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 4 5 5 5 4 EYE LVL WND GST.4 4 4 5 5 5 4 MIX HGT (KFT)...4800 FT MSL TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.20 18 18 17 17 17 17 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 20 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 69. RH..................MAX 78 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC WEATHER COV.....SCH WEATHER TYPE....TSM TEMP............84 81 78 76 74 73 72 72 71 70 70 69 RH..............48 52 57 61 64 66 68 70 71 73 74 76 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..6 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 20 FT WIND GUST.6 4 4 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.4 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 EYE LVL WND GST.4 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 88. RH..................MIN 46 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHWEST 7 TO 14 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 5700 FT MSL. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........PC PC PC PC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............69 69 71 74 77 80 83 85 86 87 87 86 RH..............77 78 73 67 60 55 51 48 47 46 46 48 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S SE 20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 3 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 3 20 FT WIND GUST.4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S SE EYE LVL WND SPD.1 1 1 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 EYE LVL WND GST.2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 MIX HGT (KFT)...5700 FT MSL TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.14 13 12 12 12 12 12 12 10 9 8 7 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 $$ FORECASTER...L PYLE REQUESTED BY...USFS TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120926.J09BW.01/LZK