FNUS73 KABR 271445 FWSABR SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAR CREEK...BIA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD 945 AM CDT THU SEP 27 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 CDT ON SEPTEMBER 27. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... WITH A WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM SLOWLY MOVING INTO FAR WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA...MILD AIR WILL CONTINUE TO BE DRAWN INTO THE REGION ON A SOUTHERLY BREEZE. A MOSTLY SUNNY SKY MAY GIVE WAY BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON TO A MORE CLOUDY SKY. A COUPLE OF SPRINKLES MAY BE FELT...BUT BY AND LARGE...THE ATMOSPHERE IS SO DRY BELOW 10000 FT THAT ANY PRECIPITATION THIS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MAY TRY TO PRODUCE WILL LIKELY JUST EVAPORATE /VIRGA/ BEFORE REACHING THE GROUND. AT THE BURN SITE...RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL LIKELY DROP DOWN PRETTY CLOSE TO 20 PERCENT...AND THOSE GENERALLY 10 MPH SURFACE WINDS WILL LIKELY HAVE A GUSTINESS CHARACTER ACCOMPANYING THEM BY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON OF CLOSER TO 15 TO 20 MPH. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT CLOUD). MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85. MIN HUMIDITY........21-26 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 11 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS x09x09 BY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON TO 15 TO 20 MPH. HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH. MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL UNTIL 1300...THEN 7200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....AROUND 6900 UNTIL 1300...THEN AROUND 118500. CWR.................ZERO. LAL.................1. TIME (CDT) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........29 42 44 47 50 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............61 73 77 81 78 RH..............41 31 27 23 24 20 FT WIND......S 7 S 8 S 9 S 10 S 7 20 FT WIND GUST.10 15 15 15 10 .TONIGHT... MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-53. MAX HUMIDITY........63-68 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 7 MPH UNTIL 0500...THEN LIGHT. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM TEMP............76 67 62 58 56 54 RH..............26 36 45 55 60 64 20 FT WIND......S 6 S 5 S 5 S 5 S 5 S 4 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 5 .FRIDAY... MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84. MIN HUMIDITY........23-28 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS UNTIL 0800...THEN SOUTHEAST 5 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM TEMP............53 59 68 75 79 79 RH..............68 58 44 32 27 25 20 FT WIND......S 4 S 5 S 7 S 10 S 11 S 11 20 FT WIND GUST.5 10 10 15 20 20 .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY... MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. .SUNDAY... MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .MONDAY... MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...DORN REQUESTED BY...AMOS ISBURG TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120927.BEARC.01/ABR