FNUS72 KGSP 271432
FWSGSP

SPOT FORECAST FOR BUFFALO CREEK UPDATE...N.C. FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1032 AM EDT THU SEP 27 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON SEPTEMBER 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...BEST TRANSPORT WIND AT MIDDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE ATOP THE REGION WILL STEADILY WEAKEN THROUGH TONIGHT.
A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT AND INCREASED MOISTURE WILL THEN SETTLE
ACROSS THE AREA FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85.
MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING WEST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500-4400 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5100-6100 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 10 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).............17     16     20     26
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................76     81     84     85
RH..................63     46     39     37
20 FT WIND..........W 2    SW 2   SW 2   SW 2
20 FT WIND GUST.....5      5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)........3700   5100   5900   6100
TRANSPORT WIND......W 10   NW 6   NW 3   SW 5
LVORI...............1      2      2      2
ADI.................33     29     15     23

REMARKS: NEW DATA CAME IN. NO CHANGES. BURN CAT 2 FROM 11 AM TO 1 PM.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 3 TO 5 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............24     20     30     40     50     49
WEATHER COV.........                     PATCHY PATCHY PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   FOG    FOG    FOG
TEMP................83     74     67     63     62     62
RH..................41     60     79     89     90     91
20 FT WIND..........S 2    S 2    S 2    SW 2   SW 2   W 2
20 FT WIND GUST.....5      5             5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)........4200   300    200    200    200    200
TRANSPORT WIND......SW 5   S 3    SW 3   SW 5   W 5    NW 5
LVORI...............2      3      4      6      6      6
ADI.................17     2      2      2      2      2

$$
FORECASTER...KIMBALL
REQUESTED BY...RONNY SHEPHERD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120927.BUFFA.02/GSP