FNUS75 KBOU 302231 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR HENTHRON FATALITY...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 431 PM MDT SUN SEP 30 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS TONIGHT. WINDS WILL BE NORTH AT 10 TO 15 MPH WITH SOME GUSTS TO 25 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE DROPPING INTO THE 50S AFTER SUNSET. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....37. MAX HUMIDITY........68%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 9-15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4800-5800 FT AGL UNTIL 2300. 1600 FT AGL AFTER 0500. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 2400...THEN FAIR UNTIL 0400...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....60. MIN HUMIDITY........34%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 7-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 7600-8600 FT AGL AFTER 0900. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1300...THEN VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .MONDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....36. MAX HUMIDITY........59%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5-6 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN WEST 7-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......6600-7600 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1900...THEN GOOD UNTIL 2100...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....65. MIN HUMIDITY........24%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 10-16 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 7200-8200 FT AGL AFTER 1000. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0800...THEN FAIR UNTIL 0900...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1200...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1500...THEN EXCELLENT UNTIL 1600...THEN VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR HENTHRONFATALITY. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 09/30-16 76 17 3 59 38 NW12 18 2 3 N31 8906 NW22 177347 E 09/30-17 76 17 3 57 42 NW 9 15 2 3 NW31 7401 NW21 137282 V 09/30-18 70 16 3 55 45 NW 7 7 2 1 NW30 5897 NW18 97217 G 09/30-19 70 16 3 53 47 NW 6 6 2 1 N31 5785 NW20 96995 G 09/30-20 70 16 3 51 49 NW 7 7 2 1 N32 5673 NW20 96772 G 09/30-21 60 16 3 49 50 NW 7 7 2 1 N33 5561 NW20 96550 G 09/30-22 60 16 3 47 53 NW 7 7 2 1 N36 4761 N18 79339 G 09/30-23 60 16 3 46 55 N 7 7 2 1 N37 3960 N17 62127 G 10/01-00 84 10 2 45 58 N 8 13 2 1 N38 3159 N16 44916 F 10/01-01 84 10 2 45 59 N10 17 2 1 N39 3472 N16 47891 F 10/01-02 84 10 2 45 59 N14 22 2 1 N40 3784 N16 50866 F 10/01-03 68 10 2 44 60 N15 24 2 1 N40 4096 N15 53840 F 10/01-04 68 10 2 42 63 N13 21 2 1 N40 2883 N13 37023 P 10/01-05 68 10 2 39 66 N 9 14 2 1 N40 1669 N10 20205 P 10/01-06 70 0 0 37 68 N 6 6 2 1 N39 456 N 8 3387 P 10/01-07 70 0 0 38 65 N 5 5 2 1 N40 1860 N 9 16108 P 10/01-08 70 0 0 41 59 N 6 6 2 1 N41 3264 N 9 28830 P 10/01-09 67 0 0 44 54 N 6 6 2 1 N41 4669 N10 41551 F 10/01-10 67 0 0 47 50 N 6 6 2 1 N41 5412 NW12 55015 F 10/01-11 67 0 0 50 45 N 6 6 2 1 N41 6155 NW13 68480 G 10/01-12 64 0 0 53 42 N 6 6 2 1 N41 6897 NW14 81945 G 10/01-13 64 0 0 55 38 NE 7 7 2 1 N40 7562 NW15 101746 V 10/01-14 64 0 0 57 36 NE 8 8 2 1 N39 8226 NW17 121547 V 10/01-15 78 0 0 59 35 NE 8 13 2 1 N39 8890 NW18 141348 V 10/01-16 78 0 0 60 34 NE 8 13 2 1 N38 8779 NW18 140130 V 10/01-17 78 0 0 60 34 NE 7 7 2 1 N38 8668 NW18 138912 V 10/01-18 12 0 0 57 39 NE 6 6 2 1 N37 7726 NW17 113906 V 10/01-19 12 0 0 53 43 N 5 5 2 1 N35 6397 NW15 87353 G 10/01-20 12 0 0 49 47 NW 3 3 2 1 N32 5069 NW13 60799 G 10/01-21 12 0 0 47 48 NW 2 2 2 1 N30 3741 NW10 34246 P 10/01-22 12 0 0 45 49 W 2 2 2 1 N29 2610 NW 9 23447 P 10/01-23 12 0 0 44 49 W 3 3 2 1 N28 1479 W 8 12649 P 10/02-00 0 0 0 42 52 W 5 5 2 1 N28 349 W 6 1851 P 10/02-01 0 0 0 41 53 W 6 6 2 1 N29 314 W 8 1989 P 10/02-02 0 0 0 40 54 W 8 13 2 1 NW30 280 W 9 2126 P 10/02-03 0 0 0 39 55 W 9 15 2 1 NW31 245 W10 2264 P 10/02-04 0 0 0 38 57 W10 16 2 1 NW31 240 W12 2357 P 10/02-05 0 0 0 38 58 W10 16 2 1 NW31 235 W12 2449 P 10/02-06 4 0 0 38 59 W10 16 2 1 NW31 230 W13 2542 P 10/02-07 4 0 0 39 55 W10 17 2 1 NW30 1273 W16 23107 P 10/02-08 4 0 0 44 47 W12 17 3 1 NW28 2315 W18 43672 F 10/02-09 4 0 0 50 37 W12 18 3 1 NW26 3357 NW22 64237 G 10/02-10 4 0 0 56 30 W13 21 3 1 NW24 4503 NW21 79149 G 10/02-11 4 0 0 59 28 W14 23 3 1 NW21 5649 NW20 94062 G 10/02-12 6 0 0 62 26 W15 24 3 1 NW20 6795 NW18 108974 V 10/02-13 6 0 0 63 25 W15 24 3 1 NW20 7496 NW20 124897 V 10/02-14 6 0 0 64 24 W15 23 2 1 NW22 8197 NW20 140821 V 10/02-15 6 0 0 65 24 W14 22 2 1 NW24 8897 W21 156744 E 10/02-16 6 0 0 64 25 W14 22 2 1 NW26 8105 W21 147186 V 10/02-17 6 0 0 62 26 W13 21 3 1 NW29 7312 W22 137628 V 10/02-18 10 0 0 61 27 W13 21 3 1 NW30 6519 W23 128070 V 10/02-19 10 0 0 56 31 W12 20 3 1 NW31 5521 W25 115319 V 10/02-20 10 0 0 52 35 W12 18 4 1 NW31 4523 W28 102568 V 10/02-21 10 0 0 50 36 W12 18 4 1 NW29 3525 W29 89817 G 10/02-22 10 0 0 48 38 W13 20 4 1 NW26 2533 W29 64022 G 10/02-23 10 0 0 47 39 W14 22 4 1 NW23 1541 W28 38227 P 10/03-00 9 0 0 45 42 W15 24 4 1 NW20 549 W26 12432 P 10/03-01 9 0 0 43 43 W15 24 4 1 W17 480 W24 10458 P 10/03-02 9 0 0 42 45 W15 23 4 1 W16 411 W23 8484 P 10/03-03 9 0 0 41 47 W14 22 4 1 W15 341 W22 6510 P 10/03-04 9 0 0 40 48 W13 21 4 1 W17 335 W20 5557 P 10/03-05 9 0 0 40 49 W12 18 3 1 W20 328 W16 4605 P 10/03-06 19 3 1 39 50 W10 16 3 1 W24 321 W13 3652 P 10/03-07 19 3 1 40 48 W 9 14 3 1 W30 1867 W18 43804 F 10/03-08 19 3 1 43 43 W 7 7 2 1 W37 3413 W23 83957 G 10/03-09 19 3 1 48 37 W 7 7 2 1 W43 4958 W29 124109 V 10/03-10 19 3 1 53 31 W 8 13 2 1 W47 5690 W30 146565 V 10/03-11 19 3 1 55 29 W10 16 2 1 W52 6421 W30 169021 E 10/03-12 47 19 4 56 28 W12 18 2 1 W53 7153 W31 191477 E 10/03-13 47 19 4 57 27 W13 20 2 1 W53 7577 W31 203552 E 10/03-14 47 19 4 58 27 W13 21 2 1 W52 8001 W31 215627 E 10/03-15 47 19 4 58 27 W13 21 2 1 W49 8425 W31 227702 E 10/03-16 47 19 4 58 28 W12 18 2 1 W49 7508 W30 196310 E 10/03-17 47 19 4 56 31 W10 16 2 1 W48 6591 W29 164918 E 10/03-18 53 11 2 54 34 W 8 13 2 1 W47 5674 W28 133526 V KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...PATTY SHAFER REASON FOR REQUEST...SAR .TAG 20120930.HENTH.01/BOU