FNUS76 KSEW 020051
FWSSEW

SPOT FORECAST FOR SOUTH POINT...USFS GIFFORD PINCHOT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
551 PM PDT MON OCT 1 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1740 PDT ON OCTOBER 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN SEATTLE.

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK FRONT NEAR THE NORTH WASHINGTON COAST THIS
EVENING WILL MOVE INLAND ACROSS WESTERN WASHINGTON TONIGHT...THEN
MOVE EAST OF THE CASCADES BY TUESDAY MORNING. THIS IS A DRY FRONT
WITH JUST INCREASED CLOUD COVER...EXCEPT ISOLATED LIGHT SHOWERS
OVER THE OLYMPIC PENINSULA AND NORTH CASCADES.

NO RAIN IS EXPECTED AT THIS WILDFIRE. W-NW RIDGE WINDS WILL INCREASE
TO 10-20 MPH TONIGHT WITH AND BEHIND THE FRONT.

NW FLOW ALOFT FROM STRONG HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OFFSHORE BEHIND
THE FRONT WILL BRING A COOLER DRY AIR MASS OVER THE AREA TUESDAY
THROUGH THE REST OF THIS WEEK. THIS WEATHER SYSTEM WILL DOMINATE THE
PATTERN AND PRODUCE DRY WEATHER ALL THE WAY INTO NEXT WEEKEND.

EASTERLY OFFSHORE FLOW WILL DEVELOP TUESDAY NIGHT AS A SURFACE HIGH
MOVES OVER THE NORTHERN ROCKIES. GUIDANCE AGREE THAT THE EASTERLY FLOW
WILL BE GENERALLY WEAK AND WILL PERSIST ALL THE WAY INTO THE COMING
WEEKEND. MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL DROP TO GENERALLY THE 25-45 PERCENT
RANGE...AND HUMIDITY RECOVERY AT NIGHT WILL BE MARGINAL.

 FORECAST FOR 20 FOOT WIND SPEED (VALLEYS AND RIDGE TOPS) ARE 10
 MINUTE AVERAGES REFLECTING RAWS WINDS.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
CWR.................LESS THAN 10%.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......BECOMING BREEZY. NORTHWEST WINDS 2 TO 4 MPH RISING
                    TO WEST 15 TO 25 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-2400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW.
LAL.................1.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING SUNNY.
CWR.................LESS THAN 10%.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
MIN HUMIDITY........AROUND 25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 16 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100-3100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...BUEHNER
REQUESTED BY...RUSSELL WILSTEAD
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20121001.SOUTH.02/SEW

PLEASE CALL IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS.