FNUS75 KTFX 011123
FWSTFX

SPOT FORECAST FOR ELBOW PASS COMPLEX...GREAT FALLS DISPATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
523 AM MDT MON OCT 1 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0503 MDT ON OCTOBER 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO MIDNIGHT
MDT TONIGHT FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...

.DISCUSSION...
INCREASING WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT AHEAD OF A STRONG CANADIAN UPPER
DISTURBANCE WILL RESULT IN GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES
OVER THE BURN AREA TODAY. A STRONG CANADIAN COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY MORNING AND WILL BRING SHARPLY COLDER
TEMPERATURES AND WETTING PRECIPITATION IN THE FORM OF MOUNTAIN
SNOW THAT WILL CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67.
MIN HUMIDITY........18-26 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST AND INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WIND......WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 25 TO 35 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
INVERSION...........SHELTERED VALLEYS...BREAKING BY 1000 MDT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41.
MAX HUMIDITY........77-85 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30
                    MPH...DECREASING TO 5 TO 8 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
RIDGE TOP WIND......WEST WINDS 25 TO 35 MPH DECREASING TO 15 TO 20 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
INVERSION...........SHELTERED VALLEYS AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-56.
MIN HUMIDITY........26-36 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST 15 TO 20
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WIND......WEST WINDS 25 TO 35 MPH.
INVERSION...........SHELTERED VALLEYS...BREAKING BY 1000 MDT.

$$
FORECASTER...EMANUEL
REQUESTED BY...GREAT FALLS DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20121001.ELBOW.01/TFX