FNUS73 KUNR 011716
FWSUNR

SPOT FORECAST FOR WHITE TAIL...CAMPBELL COUNTY FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
1116 AM MDT MON OCT 1 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1054 MDT ON OCTOBER 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RAPID CITY.

.DISCUSSION...CONTINUED DRY AND MILD CONDITIONS EXPECTED TODAY
UNDER SUNNY SKIES...WITH ONLY FAIR RELATIVE HUMIDITY RECOVERY
TONIGHT. WARMER AND DRIER CONDITIONS EXPECTED ON TUESDAY WITH NEAR
RED FLAG CONDITIONS EXPECTED. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL PUSH
ACROSS THE BURN AREA LATER TUESDAY AFTERNOON...WITH MUCH COLDER
WEATHER EXPECTED FOR MID TO LATE WEEK. THERE IS A GOOD CHANCE FOR
WETTING RAINS LATE WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

.THIS AFTERNOON...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 TO 6000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.
MAX HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 12 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 TO 1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........15 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 T0 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9500 TO 10500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT.

$$
FORECASTER...JJ
REQUESTED BY...RON SMITH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20121001.WHITE.01/UNR