FNUS75 KRIW 021817 FWSRIW SPOT FORECAST FOR DICKINSON PARK PILES...SHF NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY 1217 PM MDT TUE OCT 2 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1130 MDT ON OCTOBER 02. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT... .DISCUSSION... GUSTY WEST WIND WILL INCREASE EARLY THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT TONIGHT BECAUSE OF THE WIND...WARM TEMPERATURES...AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY. A COLD FRONT WILL REACH THE WIND RIVER RANGE FOOTHILLS BY 0900L WEDNESDAY. WINDS WILL DECREASE AND GRADUALLY SHIFT TO THE NORTHEAST DURING THE DAY AS THE COLDER AIR FLOWS INTO THE DISTRICT AND BECOMES DEEPER. COLDER TEMPERATURES AND NORTHEAST WIND WILL EVENTUALLY SURGE ACROSS THE FIRE SITE BY LATE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES WILL BE NOTICEABLY COOLER FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AS COOL NORTH FLOW PREVAILS. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... ...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT... FORECASTER...JONES .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-65. MIN HUMIDITY........17-20 PERCENT. 20 FOOT WINDS.......WIND BECOMING WEST 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 35 TO 40 MPH BY 1400L. RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH. LAL.................1. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO AROUND 5000 FT AGL BY 1400L. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 30 TO 35 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD TO EXCELLENT. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50. MAX HUMIDITY........27-30 PERCENT. 20 FOOT WINDS.......WEST 25 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 50 MPH. RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST 30 TO 40 MPH. LAL.................1. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......AROUND 3000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 35 TO 40 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) BY 0900L...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) BY 1200L. SCATTERED RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50 AT SUNRISE...THEN GRADUALLY DROPPING TO AROUND 32 BY 1700L. MIN HUMIDITY........35-38 PERCENT. 20 FOOT WINDS.......WEST 25 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 50 MPH UNTIL 0900L...THEN GRADUALLY DECREASING TO 15 TO 25 MPH BY 1300L. WIND SLOWLY SWITCHING TO THE NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH BETWEEN 1500L AND 1700L. RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST AROUND 35 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 25 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. THEN GRADUALLY SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 15 TO 25 MPH BETWEEN 1500L AND 1700L. LAL.................1. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.15 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......REMAINING AROUND 3000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 25 TO 40 MPH...THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AT 15 TO 20 MPH BETWEEN 1500L AND 1700L. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 0900...THEN GRADUALLY DECREASING TO FAIR BY 1700L. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...COLDER. MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW IN THE EVENING...THEN DECREASING BY MIDNIGHT. LOWS 15 TO 20 MPH. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS 30 TO 35. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...JONES REQUESTED BY...BRETT HELLER REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20121002.DICKI.01/RIW