FNUS75 KBOU 032051 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR COUNTY RD 871 FIRE...COUNTY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 249 PM MDT WED OCT 3 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MDT THIS EVENING... .DISCUSSION...GUSTY WEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON AS A FRONT APPROACHES FROM WYOMING. HUMIDITIES SHOULD STAY IN THE SINGLE DIGITS FOR THE NEXT COUPLE HOURS BEFORE BEGINNING TO RECOVER. THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO STAY EAST OF THE DIVIDE AND SHOULD NOT HAVE MUCH AFFECT IN TERMS OF WIND...THOUGH WITH HIGHER PRESSURE BUILDING OVER THE PLAINS...MAY SEE SOME ENHANCED DOWNSLOPE WINDS TONIGHT FROM THE EAST. COOLER TEMPERATURES ARE IN STORE FOR TONIGHT....TOMORROW AND INTO THE WEEKEND AS A COLDER UPPER TROUGH MOVES OVERHEAD. FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY WILL HAVE A CHANCE OF SEEING SOME SNOW WITH HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOW 40S. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....61. MIN HUMIDITY........8%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 17-23 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 36-40 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......9400-10000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN UNTIL 2400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....29. MAX HUMIDITY........59%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 10-16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 16-24 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN SOUTHWEST AROUND 4 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......10200 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2000...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 2100...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....54. MIN HUMIDITY........24%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN WEST 13-19 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9-20 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN WEST 28-36 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900. 6800-7800 FT AGL AFTER 1500. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1200...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1300...THEN EXCELLENT. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1200. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0600... THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 1800. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1200 UNTIL 1800. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR COUNTY RD 871 FIRE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 10/03-14 28 0 0 61 8 W18 30 2 1 W51 9390 W40 323560 E 10/03-15 28 3 1 61 8 W20 30 2 1 W49 9793 W39 328112 E 10/03-16 28 3 1 61 11 W21 32 2 1 W49 9938 W38 329239 E 10/03-17 28 3 1 61 14 W18 30 2 1 W49 10083 W38 330366 E 10/03-18 42 10 2 59 17 W16 25 2 1 W49 10228 W37 331493 E 10/03-19 42 10 2 55 21 W13 20 2 1 W49 7076 W28 222732 E 10/03-20 42 10 2 51 27 W 8 13 2 1 W51 3924 W17 113971 V 10/03-21 42 10 2 47 35 W 5 5 2 1 W52 771 W 8 5211 P 10/03-22 42 10 2 43 43 SW 3 3 2 1 W54 600 W 7 3731 P 10/03-23 42 10 2 40 49 SW 2 2 2 1 W58 429 SW 5 2252 P 10/04-00 29 4 1 37 54 S 2 2 2 1 W61 259 SW 3 773 P 10/04-01 29 4 1 36 56 S 2 2 3 1 W62 290 SW 3 950 P 10/04-02 29 4 1 35 54 SW 2 2 3 1 W63 321 SW 3 1128 P 10/04-03 29 2 0 35 52 SW 2 2 4 1 W64 352 SW 5 1306 P 10/04-04 29 2 0 34 54 SW 2 2 4 1 W64 324 SW 5 1172 P 10/04-05 29 2 0 32 56 SW 3 3 4 1 W64 297 SW 3 1037 P 10/04-06 27 4 1 30 59 S 3 3 4 1 W63 269 SW 3 903 P 10/04-07 27 4 1 31 59 SW 3 3 4 1 W63 527 SW 5 2758 P 10/04-08 27 4 1 33 58 W 2 2 4 1 W62 785 SW 6 4612 P 10/04-09 27 4 1 35 53 W 3 3 4 1 W62 1044 W 7 6467 P 10/04-10 27 4 1 39 46 W 7 7 3 1 W62 2459 W15 51173 F 10/04-11 27 4 1 43 38 W10 16 3 1 W62 3874 W23 95879 G 10/04-12 44 4 1 47 32 W14 22 2 1 W62 5290 W31 140585 V 10/04-13 44 4 1 50 28 W16 26 2 1 W62 6169 W32 171956 E 10/04-14 44 4 1 52 25 W18 29 2 1 W62 7048 W33 203327 E 10/04-15 44 4 1 54 24 W18 30 2 1 W62 7927 W35 234698 E 10/04-16 44 4 1 53 25 W16 25 2 1 W62 7159 W31 198578 E 10/04-17 44 4 1 52 28 W13 20 2 1 W61 6392 W29 162457 E 10/04-18 57 4 1 50 31 W 9 15 2 1 W61 5625 W25 126336 V 10/04-19 57 4 1 46 36 W 8 8 2 1 W60 3944 W21 85759 G 10/04-20 57 4 1 42 40 W 7 7 2 1 W60 2264 W15 45182 F 10/04-21 57 4 1 41 41 W 6 6 2 1 W60 584 W 9 4605 P 10/04-22 57 4 1 39 45 SW 5 5 2 1 W61 487 W 9 3763 P 10/04-23 57 4 1 38 49 SW 5 5 2 1 W62 390 SW 8 2921 P 10/05-00 48 6 1 36 55 SW 5 5 2 1 W64 292 SW 8 2080 P 10/05-01 48 6 1 35 57 SW 5 5 2 1 W68 285 SW 8 2036 P 10/05-02 48 6 1 34 59 W 6 6 2 1 W71 278 W 8 1992 P 10/05-03 48 6 1 33 60 W 6 6 2 1 W74 272 W 8 1948 P 10/05-04 48 6 1 32 63 W 6 6 2 1 W74 270 W 8 1880 P 10/05-05 48 6 1 32 67 W 6 6 2 1 W74 268 W 8 1812 P 10/05-06 60 4 1 31 69 W 6 6 2 1 W74 267 W 8 1744 P 10/05-07 60 4 1 32 65 W 7 7 2 1 W74 1912 W16 50877 F 10/05-08 60 4 1 35 56 W 8 13 2 1 W74 3556 W24 100010 V 10/05-09 60 4 1 39 45 W 9 15 2 1 W74 5201 W33 149144 V 10/05-10 60 4 1 42 39 W10 17 2 1 W73 6146 W33 179654 E 10/05-11 60 4 1 44 36 W12 18 2 1 W71 7091 W35 210164 E 10/05-12 66 18 4 45 33 W13 21 2 1 W69 8036 W35 240674 E 10/05-13 66 18 4 46 31 W13 21 2 1 W69 8242 W32 229997 E 10/05-14 66 18 4 47 28 W13 21 2 1 W68 8447 W30 219320 E 10/05-15 66 18 4 47 27 W13 21 2 1 W67 8653 W28 208643 E 10/05-16 66 18 4 46 27 W12 18 2 1 W63 8175 W24 175768 E 10/05-17 66 18 4 45 29 NW 9 15 2 1 W61 7697 W21 142893 V 10/05-18 59 16 3 43 32 NW 8 13 2 1 W59 7219 W17 110017 V 10/05-19 59 16 3 39 39 N 8 8 2 1 W59 6132 SW14 81873 G 10/05-20 59 16 3 36 48 NE 7 7 2 1 W59 5046 S10 53729 F 10/05-21 59 16 3 34 54 E 7 7 2 1 W59 3960 S 7 25585 P 10/05-22 59 16 3 32 58 E 6 6 2 1 W58 3276 SE 9 23352 P 10/05-23 59 16 3 31 61 E 3 3 2 1 W56 2593 SE10 21118 P 10/06-00 54 21 4 29 65 SE 2 2 2 1 W55 1910 SE12 18885 P 10/06-01 54 21 4 28 70 SE 2 2 2 1 W54 1658 SE 9 14527 P 10/06-02 54 21 4 27 74 E 3 3 2 1 W53 1406 SE 8 10168 P 10/06-03 54 21 4 26 76 E 3 3 2 1 W52 1153 SE 6 5810 P 10/06-04 54 21 4 25 73 SE 3 3 2 1 W52 1783 S 7 12542 P 10/06-05 54 21 4 25 69 SW 2 2 2 1 W52 2413 SW 8 19274 P 10/06-06 47 22 4 24 66 W 2 2 2 1 W52 3043 W10 26007 P 10/06-07 47 22 4 25 64 W 3 3 2 1 W53 4518 W15 73939 G 10/06-08 47 22 4 27 61 W 5 5 2 1 W54 5994 W21 121872 V 10/06-09 47 22 4 31 54 W 6 6 2 1 W54 7469 W26 169805 E 10/06-10 47 22 4 34 46 W 7 7 2 1 W52 7734 W23 156176 E 10/06-11 47 22 4 35 40 W 7 7 2 1 NW48 8000 W21 142548 V 10/06-12 44 10 2 36 36 W 7 7 2 1 NW45 8265 W18 128919 V 10/06-13 44 10 2 37 34 W 7 7 2 1 NW43 7768 W17 116753 V 10/06-14 44 10 2 38 34 W 6 6 3 1 NW40 7271 W16 104586 V 10/06-15 44 10 2 38 33 W 6 6 3 1 NW38 6774 W16 92419 G 10/06-16 44 10 2 37 33 W 6 6 3 1 NW37 6344 W16 85966 G 10/06-17 44 10 2 37 33 NW 6 6 3 1 NW36 5915 W15 79514 G 10/06-18 25 6 1 35 33 NW 6 6 3 1 NW35 5486 W15 73061 G KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...SHERIFF JOHNSON REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20121003.COUNT.01/BOU