FNUS75 KGJT 032303
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR HWY 13...UCR FIRE MGMT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
503 PM MDT WED OCT 3 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1625 MDT ON OCTOBER 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...A DRY COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE NORTHWEST IS
EXPECTED TO REACH THE FIRE AROUND 1900 MDT THIS EVENING WITH WIND
SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AND AN INCREASE IN HUMIDITY DUE TO THE
COLDER TEMPERATURES. THE FRONT SHOULD PUSH SOUTH OF THE FIRE BUT
WILL ALSO SLOW AS IT ENCOUNTERS THE HIGHER TERRAIN. TOP OF THE
SURFACE INVERSION TONIGHT IS EXPECTED TO BE AROUND 9000 FT MSL
ELEVATION. WEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW WILL PREVAIL THE REST OF THE
WEEK WITH ADDITIONAL COLD PUSHES THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT.

.THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50%) UNTIL 1900...THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....28-33 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........10-15% RISING TO 20-25% AT 2000...40-45% BY
                     2400. MAX HUMIDITY OF 53-58%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 12-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30
                    MPH UNTIL 1900...THEN BECOMING NORTHWEST 10-15 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH UNTIL 2200...THEN NORTHWEST
                    5-10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10000 FT AGL LOWERING TO 4500 FT AGL BY 2000 AND
                    1000 FT AGL OR LESS BY 2400.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST 25 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST 15 MPH AFTER 2000
                    DECREASING TO 5
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT DECREASING TO GOOD BY 2000 AND POOR BY
                    2400.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.

THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...NO PRECIPITATION ANTICIPATED AT THE
FIRE ALTHOUGH AN ISOLATED SHOWER IS POSSIBLE OVER THE FLAT TOPS
AND WHITE RIVER PLATEAU EACH AFTERNOON.


$$
FORECASTER...JIM DANIELS
REQUESTED BY...CLAY FOWLER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20121003.HWY13.01/GJT