FNUS75 KBOU 041718 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR TRAIL RIDGE ROAD SAR...NPS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 1108 AM MDT THU OCT 4 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...DRY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH TONIGHT WITH SOME GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH. CLOUDS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE OVERNIGHT AHEAD OF AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE. THE DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE REGION FRIDAY... BRINGING COOLER AIR ALONG WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE GUSTY THROUGH THE DAY. THERE MAY BE WIND CHILL READINGS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS AT TIMES OVERNIGHT THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....37-40. MIN HUMIDITY........25-30%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 15-21 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 20 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 24-32 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-4000 FT AGL UNTIL 1400...THEN 5400-6400 FT AGL UNTIL 1700...THEN 2600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1200...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1300...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1400...THEN EXCELLENT UNTIL 1700...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....20-25. MAX HUMIDITY........60-65%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 12-18 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....27-31. MIN HUMIDITY........33-37%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 11-21 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 16-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 2600-3600 FT AGL UNTIL 1200...THEN 5400-6400 FT AGL UNTIL 1700...THEN 2800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1200...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1500...THEN EXCELLENT UNTIL 1600...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR TRAIL RIDGEROAD. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 10/04-11 47 0 0 37 41 W16 25 4 1 W78 2359 W21 52365 F 10/04-12 48 0 0 38 38 W17 28 4 1 W78 3425 W26 77572 G 10/04-13 48 0 0 39 34 W18 29 4 1 W79 4596 W30 127063 V 10/04-14 48 0 0 40 31 W18 30 4 1 W79 5767 W33 176554 E 10/04-15 48 0 0 40 29 W18 30 4 1 W79 6938 W38 226044 E 10/04-16 48 0 0 40 28 W18 29 4 1 W77 4772 W30 152506 E 10/04-17 48 0 0 38 27 W17 26 4 1 W76 2607 W22 78968 G 10/04-18 62 6 1 36 28 W15 24 4 1 W74 441 W14 5430 P 10/04-19 62 6 1 33 34 W12 20 4 1 W73 369 W12 4037 P 10/04-20 62 6 1 29 42 W 9 14 4 1 W73 297 SW 9 2644 P 10/04-21 62 6 1 27 47 SW 7 7 4 1 W73 225 SW 7 1251 P 10/04-22 62 6 1 27 51 SW 8 8 4 1 W73 215 SW 8 1423 P 10/04-23 62 6 1 25 56 W 9 15 4 1 W75 205 SW 9 1596 P 10/05-00 64 9 2 24 60 W12 18 4 1 W76 196 W10 1768 P 10/05-01 64 9 2 22 65 W13 20 4 1 W78 202 W12 1968 P 10/05-02 64 9 2 21 65 W13 21 4 1 W81 209 W12 2168 P 10/05-03 64 9 2 23 59 W14 22 4 1 W83 216 W13 2368 P 10/05-04 64 9 2 22 59 W15 24 4 1 W82 224 W14 2664 P 10/05-05 64 9 2 22 57 W16 26 3 1 W79 231 W15 2960 P 10/05-06 67 10 2 21 58 W17 28 3 1 W78 239 W16 3256 P 10/05-07 67 10 2 23 54 W17 29 3 1 W78 364 W16 5217 P 10/05-08 67 10 2 21 58 W18 29 2 1 W79 489 W16 7178 P 10/05-09 67 10 2 21 59 W18 30 2 1 W82 614 W17 9140 P 10/05-10 67 10 2 22 56 W18 29 2 1 W82 2248 W20 43768 F 10/05-11 67 10 2 24 50 W17 29 2 1 W82 3882 W22 78397 G 10/05-12 63 10 2 26 44 W17 28 2 1 W82 5516 W23 113025 V 10/05-13 63 10 2 27 39 W17 28 2 1 W83 6006 W25 130717 V 10/05-14 63 10 2 29 35 W17 28 2 1 W84 6495 W26 148409 V 10/05-15 63 10 2 30 33 W16 25 2 1 W85 6984 W28 166101 E 10/05-16 63 10 2 30 33 W14 22 2 1 W85 4918 W21 112505 V 10/05-17 63 10 2 30 35 W10 17 2 1 W85 2851 W14 58910 F 10/05-18 73 10 2 29 39 NW 8 13 2 1 W84 784 W 8 5315 P 10/05-19 73 10 2 27 45 N 6 6 2 1 W83 632 SW 7 3945 P 10/05-20 73 10 2 24 55 NE 5 5 3 1 W81 480 S 6 2576 P 10/05-21 73 10 2 22 63 E 5 5 3 1 W79 328 SE 5 1206 P 10/05-22 73 10 2 21 66 SE 6 6 3 1 W78 327 SE 5 1401 P 10/05-23 73 10 2 20 66 S 7 7 2 1 W77 327 S 6 1596 P 10/06-00 59 20 4 21 63 SW 8 13 2 1 W78 327 SW 6 1792 P 10/06-01 59 20 4 21 61 SW 6 6 2 1 W78 330 SW 6 1543 P 10/06-02 59 20 4 22 58 SW 3 3 2 1 W79 333 W 5 1294 P 10/06-03 59 20 4 23 56 CALM 1 2 1 W81 336 W 3 1044 P 10/06-04 59 20 4 22 54 SW 3 3 2 1 W82 340 W 6 1635 P 10/06-05 59 20 4 22 53 W 6 6 2 1 W82 343 W 7 2225 P 10/06-06 56 10 2 20 54 W 8 13 2 1 W82 347 W 9 2815 P 10/06-07 56 10 2 18 60 W 7 7 2 1 W83 1290 W10 12774 P 10/06-08 56 10 2 16 69 SW 5 5 2 1 W83 2232 W12 22733 P 10/06-09 56 10 2 14 76 SW 2 2 2 1 W82 3175 W12 32692 P 10/06-10 56 10 2 14 73 SW 2 2 2 1 W81 4267 W15 61746 G 10/06-11 56 10 2 14 69 W 2 2 2 1 W78 5359 W18 90799 G 10/06-12 66 21 4 14 64 W 3 3 2 1 NW75 6452 W22 119853 V 10/06-13 66 21 4 16 60 W 3 3 2 1 NW69 5951 W20 102039 V 10/06-14 66 21 4 18 55 W 3 3 2 1 NW63 5451 W17 84224 G 10/06-15 66 21 4 20 51 W 3 3 2 1 NW56 4950 W15 66409 G 10/06-16 66 21 4 22 45 NW 5 5 3 1 NW52 4530 W15 58582 F 10/06-17 66 21 4 25 39 NW 6 6 4 1 NW47 4109 W14 50754 F 10/06-18 50 10 2 27 35 NW 7 7 5 1 NW43 3688 W14 42927 F 10/06-19 50 10 2 26 35 NW 8 8 6 1 NW39 2755 W12 30548 P 10/06-20 50 10 2 25 36 NW 8 13 6 1 NW37 1822 W 9 18168 P 10/06-21 50 10 2 24 37 NW 8 13 6 1 NW36 890 W 8 5789 P 10/06-22 50 10 2 23 38 NW 8 13 6 1 NW35 815 W 8 5415 P 10/06-23 50 10 2 22 39 NW 8 13 6 1 W33 741 NW 8 5040 P 10/07-00 23 8 2 20 40 NW 8 13 6 1 W32 667 NW 8 4666 P 10/07-01 23 8 2 19 41 NW 8 13 6 1 W32 650 NW 8 4756 P 10/07-02 23 8 2 18 41 NW 8 14 5 1 W32 634 NW 9 4846 P 10/07-03 23 8 2 17 42 NW 9 15 5 1 W32 618 NW 9 4937 P 10/07-04 23 8 2 15 43 NW10 16 5 1 NW32 545 NW10 4581 P 10/07-05 23 8 2 14 43 NW12 18 5 1 NW32 471 NW10 4225 P 10/07-06 15 5 1 15 41 NW13 21 5 1 N32 398 NW12 3869 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...LESZCYNSKI...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...MARK MAGNUSON REASON FOR REQUEST...SAR .TAG 20121004.TRAIL.01/BOU