FNUS74 KLZK 041157 FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR ROAD 122 SOUTH...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 657 AM CDT THU OCT 4 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON OCTOBER 04. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... IN GENERAL...CLEAR SKIES WITH HIGHS IN THE 80S AND AFTERNOON RH VALUES AROUND 50 PERCENT CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY. AT THE BURN SITE...WINDS WILL INITIALLY BE CALM OR VERY NEARLY SO. EXPECT TO SEE A LIGHT UPSLOPE FLOW AFTER SUNRISE...BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH BY MID MORNING. GUST POTENTIAL IS FAIRLY LOW...BUT COULD SEE SOME GUSTS MEASURE IN THE LOW TO MID TEENS. EXPECT GOOD RH RECOVERY TONIGHT AS CLEAR SKIES WILL ALLOW TEMPS TO FALL TOWARDS DEWPOINT TEMPERATURE FAIRLY QUICKLY. AN INCOMING FRONT WILL AFFECT THE BURN SITE TOMORROW. EXPECT INCREASING CLOUDS AROUND AND SHORTLY AFTER SUNRISE FRIDAY...WITH RAIN CHANCES INCREASING SIGNIFICANTLY LATE MORNING ONWARD. RAIN CHANCES WILL BE 50-60 PERCENT OR HIGHER BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. GUSTY NORTH WINDS WILL OCCUR FRIDAY NIGHT BEHIND THE FRONT. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING. TEMPERATURE.........73 AT IGNITION...MAX 78. RH..................50 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 47 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT UPSLOPE WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH BY LATE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH AROUND 16 MPH DECREASING TO 5 TO 14 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 6300 FT MSL. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTH AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............73 75 76 77 78 77 RH..............50 48 47 47 48 50 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 8 7 7 7 20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 8 7 7 7 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S EYE LVL WND SPD.5 5 5 4 4 4 EYE LVL WND GST.5 5 5 4 4 4 MIX HGT (KFT)... TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.13 14 13 13 12 10 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 66. RH..................MAX 68 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 6 TO 12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 3300 FT MSL. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC PC PC PC PC PC MC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............76 74 72 71 70 69 69 68 68 68 67 67 RH..............54 59 61 62 62 62 62 61 62 63 64 65 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..6 5 5 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 20 FT WIND GUST.6 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE EYE LVL WND SPD.4 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 EYE LVL WND GST.4 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 MIX HGT (KFT)... TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.9 8 9 9 10 10 12 12 10 9 7 6 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 77. RH..................MIN 60 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS. TRANSPORT WINDS........WEST 3 TO 10 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 5300 FT MSL. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE.... RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN TEMP............67 66 67 69 71 73 74 76 76 77 76 75 RH..............66 67 68 67 65 64 62 62 61 60 61 63 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE S S S S SW SW SW SW W W 20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 3 5 5 5 3 3 2 20 FT WIND GUST.2 2 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 4 4 4 EYE LVL WND DIR.SE SE S S S S SW SW SW SW W W EYE LVL WND SPD.1 1 1 1 1 2 3 3 3 2 2 1 EYE LVL WND GST.1 1 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 2 2 2 MIX HGT (KFT)... TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW W TRANSP WIND SPD.5 3 5 6 7 8 10 10 9 8 7 6 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 20 20 30 30 30 30 40 40 40 40 40 $$ FORECASTER...C DALTON REQUESTED BY...USFS TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20121004.ROAD1.01/LZK