FNUS75 KBOI 071145
FWSBOI

SPOT FORECAST FOR WESLEY...USFS PAYETTE FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
545 AM MDT SUN OCT 7 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0517 MDT ON OCTOBER 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...PERSISTENCE FORECAST OF DRY WITH SLIGHT WARMING TODAY AND MONDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
THERE HAS BEEN NO CHANGE IN THE WEATHER PATTERN FOR QUITE SOME TIME AND
THIS WILL CONTINUE FOR AT LEAST ANOTHER 2 TO 3 DAYS BEFORE THE BLOCK
FINALLY BREAKS DOWN.  IN THE MEANTIME...DRY SUNNY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE
WITH STAGNANT CONDITIONS PRODUCING POOR MIXING AND VENTILATION. ALTHOUGH
WINDS ARE LIGHT...A STRONGER NIGHTIME DRAINAGE COMPONENT FROM THE NORTH
NORTHEAST WILL PREVAIL. LONGER RANGE MODELS STILL SHOW A BREAK DOWN IN THE
BLOCK MID WEEK WITH MORE FLOW STARTING THEN AND A GOOD CHANCE OF THE FIRST
SIGNIFICANT RAINS BY THE END OF NEXT WEEKEND.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....49 TO 55.
MIN HUMIDITY........15 TO 20 PERCENT.
WIND - EYE LEVEL....LIGHT NORTH THIS MORNING BECOMING SOUTHWEST 3 TO 7 MPH
                    LATE MORNING.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...175 POOR.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36 TO 43.
MAX HUMIDITY........25 TO 33 PERCENT.
WIND - EYE LEVEL....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING THEN LIGHT NORTH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...40 POOR.

.COLUMBUS DAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....52 TO 58.
MIN HUMIDITY........14 TO 19 PERCENT.
WIND - EYE LEVEL....NORTH IN THE MORNING 2 TO 6 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    4 TO 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...350 FAIR.

.OUTLOOK...
SLIGHTLY WARMER EACH DAY THIS WEEK WITH HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID 50S AND LOWS
IN THE 30S. CONTINUED VERY DRY WITH NO CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION OR EVEN
SIGNIFICANT CLOUD COVER UNTIL MUCH LATER IN THE WEEK. MORE FLOW ALOFT
STARTS WEDNESDAY WITH BETTER MIXING AND VENTILATION AS WELL.  A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS ENTERS THE PICTURE BY NEXT WEEKEND WITH SIGNIFICANT RAIN AND HIGH
ELEVATION SNOW AROUND SUNDAY OR MONDAY. THESE COULD BE SUBSTANTIAL RAINS.

$$
FORECASTER...SKARI
REQUESTED BY...DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20121007.WESLE.01/BOI