FNUS73 KDLH 071943 FWSDLH SPOT FORECAST FOR DISAPPOINTMENT...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN 243 PM CDT SUN OCT 7 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1412 CDT ON OCTOBER 07. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... CONDITIONS AT THE FIRE WILL REMAIN NEARLY STEADY THROUGH 1800 L WITH SW WINDS 5 TO 8 GUSTING TO 18 MPH AND RH VALUES IN THE 35 TO 40 PERCENT RANGE. THE TEMPERATURE IN THE OBSERVATION WITH THE SPOT REQUEST IS ABOUT 5 DEGREES WARMER THAN SURROUNDING RAWS STATIONS...SO FCST IS BASED ON THIS. CLOUD COVER WILL REMAIN OVERCAST WITH A CEILING AROUND 8 KFT. CLOUDS MAY THIN THIS EVENING BEFORE FILLING BACK IN OVERNIGHT. A LOW PRESSURE CENTER WILL TRACK ALONG THE INTERNATIONAL BORDER MONDAY...AND IS EXPECTED TO BRING A TENTH OR TWO OF RAIN TO THE FIRE. WINDS WILL BE GENERALLY LIGHT AND OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH MONDAY. .LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER...............MOSTLY CLOUDY. 1630 TEMPERATURE..........53 F MIN TEMPERATURE TONIGHT...28-33 F RH AT 1630................35 PERCENT MAX HUMIDITY TONIGHT......70-75 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT) AT 1630......SOUTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH GUSTS TO 18 MPH. WIND (20 FT) OVERNIGHT....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 WITH GUSTS THROUGH 1900...BECOMING SOUTH 3 TO 5 MPH...THEN SOUTHEAST LATE. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (64700) DECREASING TO POOR (1500). MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 350 FT AGL. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM TEMP............48 41 39 35 33 32 RH..............40 47 58 77 75 72 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW S SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..4 3 2 1 2 2 20 FT WIND GUST.8 5 3 2 3 3 .COLUMBUS DAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE LATE MORNING...THEN RAIN LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF RAIN 60 PERCENT. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.10 TO 0.20 INCHES MAX TEMPERATURE.....42-47. MIN HUMIDITY........50-60 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 2 TO 4 MPH....BECOMING SOUTH 4 TO 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2500) INCREASING TO GOOD (35700) LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (85800) EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO FAIR (27200) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2600 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 5000 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 2700 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM TEMP............33 37 41 43 44 43 RH..............72 62 56 55 60 73 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE S S 20 FT WIND SPD..3 4 4 5 5 4 20 FT WIND GUST.5 6 8 9 9 6 $$ FORECASTER...AMANDA REQUESTED BY...JEB BACKE TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20121007.DISAP.02/DLH