FNUS73 KEAX 091317 FWSEAX SPOT FORECAST FOR UNIT 9...USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 817 AM CDT TUE OCT 9 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 CDT ON OCTOBER 09. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... THERE IS A WEAK COLD FRONT TO THE NORTHWEST...BETWEEN OMAHA AND PLATTSMOUTH NEBRASKA...THAT WILL BE MOVING INTO THE BURN AREA LATE THIS MORNING OR EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. SURFACE WINDS AHEAD OF THE FRONT ARE EXPECTED TO BE FROM THE SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH WITH A FEW STRONGER GUSTS. WINDS WILL BECOME VARIABLE IN THE VICINITY OF THE FRONT BUT OVERALL WILL TEND TO VEER TO THE NORTHWEST AS THE FRONT PASSES THE BURN AREA. SURFACE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO FULLY FROM THE NORTHWEST BETWEEN 1 AND 2 PM CDT. THERE IS ALSO A SMALL CHANCE FOR RAIN SHOWERS AS THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH AND IN THE IMMEDIATE WAKE OF THE FRONT. SHOWERS SHOULD BE SCATTERED IN NATURE WITH LIGHT PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS EXPECTED IN ANY AREA THAT ACTUALLY SEE RAINFALL. .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....MISSING. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 64 PERCENT. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.10 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 9 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 8 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM SKY (%).........54 56 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............46 49 RH..............67 64 20 FT WIND DIR..S S 20 FT WIND SPD..9 8 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 HAINES INDEX....4 4 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....59 AT IGNITION...MAX 62. MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 41 PERCENT. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.10 PERCENT THEN 0 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS NORTHWEST AT 10 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 18 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 4000-4700 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AROUND 12 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN INCREASING TO AROUND 24 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING. TIME (CDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM SKY (%).........60 64 68 72 74 76 79 80 68 44 32 30 WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............51 53 55 58 59 60 61 62 59 56 50 46 RH..............61 58 54 51 50 46 44 41 43 47 55 62 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW W W NW NW N N N N NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 9 9 10 14 17 18 17 14 12 10 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 15 20 25 25 25 20 15 15 HAINES INDEX....4 3 3 3 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...BOWMAN REQUESTED BY...SAM VANOURNEY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20121009.UNIT9.01/EAX