FNUS71 KCTP 101905
FWSCTP

SPOT FORECAST FOR PA FW MTNG...PEMA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
305 PM EDT WED OCT 10 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1500 EDT ON OCTOBER 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE.

.DISCUSSION...

THIS IS A PRACTICE/TEST SPOT FORECAST FOR FIRE WEATHER USERS
MEETING.

.TONIGHT...

LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100-5400 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 600-1000 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 25 TO 31 MPH...DECREASING TO 14 TO 21 MPH
                    LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
MIX HGT (FT)........5400   4200   4700   4100   2300   1000
TRANSPORT WIND......W 31   W 29   W 30   W 29   W 25   W 17
LAL.................1      1      1      1      1      1
HAINES INDEX........4      4      4      4      4      4

.THURSDAY...

LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1400 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2500-4300 FT
                    AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 17 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
MIX HGT (FT)........300    500    2500   3800   3900   4300
TRANSPORT WIND......W 13   W 13   W 16   W 16   W 12   SW 13
LAL.................1      1      1      1      1      1
HAINES INDEX........4      5      5      5      5      5

$$
FORECASTER...WFO CTP/GARTNER
REQUESTED BY...WFO CTP FWPL
TYPE OF REQUEST...TEST
.TAG 20121010.PAFWM.01/CTP