FNUS75 KCYS 101431
FWSCYS

SPOT FORECAST FOR BALD MTN RX...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
831 AM MDT WED OCT 10 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 MDT ON OCTOBER 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
THE STRONG WESTERLY WINDS AT THE SITE WILL BE THE MAIN WEATHER
STORY THROUGH TONIGHT. SUSTAINED WINDS 25 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON. THE DRY AIRMASS WILL
PRODUCE MINIMUM AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES IN THE 15-20
PERCENT RANGE. WINDS WILL SWITCH TO THE SOUTHWEST AND BECOME
WEAKER ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION...A MORE MOIST MIDLEVEL
AIRMASS WILL RESULT IN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS DURING THE
AFTERNOON...BUT THE CHANCE OF A WETTING RAIN IS LOW. A STRONG
STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE OVER SOUTHEAST WYOMING ON FRIDAY NIGHT AND
SATURDAY MORNING. INCREASING MOISTURE AND LIFT WILL RESULT IN A
GOOD CHANCE OF WETTING PRECIPITATION. AT THIS TIME PRECIPITATION
AMOUNTS IN THE 0.25-0.50 INCH RANGE ARE EXPECTED.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55-59.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE MORNING THEN
                    INCREASING TO 25 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40
                    MPH AFTER 1200.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6500 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 25-30 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (86800-196000 KNOT-FT).

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 36-40.
MAX HUMIDITY........30-40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53-57.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 15 TO 20 MPH BEFORE 1200 THEN BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6500 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (65900-149300 KNOT-FT).

$$
FORECASTER...FINCH
REQUESTED BY...DARON REYNOLDS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20121011.BALDM.03/CYS