FNUS75 KCYS 111838
FWSCYS

SPOT FORECAST FOR TED...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
1238 PM MDT THU OCT 11 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1211 MDT ON OCTOBER 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH
SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

.DISCUSSION...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE OVER THE AREA TODAY IN ADVANCE OF
A STRONG STORM SYSTEM FORECASTED TO MOVE OVER SOUTHEAST WYOMING ON
FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING. SOUTHWEST WINDS THIS AFTERNOON
COULD GUST TO 15 MPH AT TIMES. CLOUD COVER WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE
ON FRIDAY IN ADVANCE OF THE STORM. WETTING PRECIPITATION WILL
BECOME LIKELY BY LATE AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING ON FRIDAY.
OVER THE PERIOD FROM FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...WIDESPREAD
PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS OF 0.50-0.75 INCHES WILL OCCUR OVER THE
SIERRA MADRE RANGE WITH HIGHER AMOUNTS ON SOUTHWEST FACING SLOPES.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) TO MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52-56.
MIN HUMIDITY........32-37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE
                    GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (128500-155700 KNOT-FT).

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40-45.
MAX HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 11 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......AROUND 3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    FROM MID-MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON THEN RAIN
                    BECOMING LIKELY BY LATE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48-53.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH.
CWR.................70 PERCENT BY LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT (49300-123100 KNOT-FT).

$$
FORECASTER...FINCH
REQUESTED BY...LANDON MCGUIRE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20121011.TED__.01/CYS