FNUS73 KEAX 111409 FWSEAX SPOT FORECAST FOR UNIT 9...USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 909 AM CDT THU OCT 11 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON OCTOBER 11. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A SLOW MOVING FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL SAG INTO NORTHERN MISSOURI THROUGH THE MORNING AND AFTERNOON HOURS. THIS WILL RESULT IN WINDS STARTING FROM THE SOUTH THIS MORNING...BUT BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE THIS AFTERNOON. ONSET OF THE NORTH WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR AROUND 4 PM. OTHERWISE...NO RAIN IS EXPECTED WITH THE ADVANCING FRONT ACROSS NORTHERN MISSOURI. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73. MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.10 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH AT 5 TO 10 MPH THIS MORNING...WITH LIGHT AND VARIABLE WIND PREVAILING FROM NOON THROUGH 4 PM. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER 4 PM. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4700-5400 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST AROUND 21 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO AROUND 10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AROUND 1 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........39 63 73 76 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............60 68 72 72 RH..............49 42 36 35 20 FT WIND......SW 5 W 5 NW 5 N 5 20 FT WIND GUST. HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 43. MAX HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.10 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 6 TO 10 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........78 70 59 51 52 52 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............64 56 52 49 48 45 RH..............45 52 51 48 49 50 20 FT WIND......N 6 N 7 NE 9 NE 10 NE 10 NE 9 20 FT WIND GUST. 10 15 10 HAINES INDEX....4 4 2 2 2 2 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62. MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 21 TO 24 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........53 62 74 83 86 91 WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............44 47 54 59 61 62 RH..............50 48 40 35 37 42 20 FT WIND......NE 9 E 10 E 13 SE 14 SE 15 SE 13 20 FT WIND GUST.10 15 15 20 20 20 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 2 2 $$ FORECASTER...CUTTER REQUESTED BY...SAM VANOURNEY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20121011.UNIT9.01/EAX