FNUS75 KMSO 112019
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR EAST HARRIS SALVAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
219 PM MDT THU OCT 11 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 MDT ON OCTOBER 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE FRIDAY AFTERNOON AHEAD
OF AN APPROACHING WEATHER SYSTEM. INITIALLY THEY WILL BE MORE FROM
A WESTERLY DIRECTION BUT THEY SHOULD BECOME MORE NORTHWESTERLY IN
THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. CONFIDENCE IS HIGH IN SHOWERS ON
SATURDAY ALTHOUGH PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS ARE STILL SOMEWHAT IN
QUESTION. AN EVEN MORE SIGNIFICANT WAVE IS EXPECTED SUNDAY NIGHT
INTO MONDAY WHICH WE HAVE A HIGH CONFIDENCE WILL PRODUCE A WETTING
RAIN OVER THE FIRE. FRIDAY WILL BE FAIRLY UNSTABLE SO THERE COULD
BE SOME EDDYING ON THE LEE SIDE OF RIDGE TOPS. THE ATMOSPHERE WILL
STABILIZE MORE ON SATURDAY AS RAIN MOVES INTO THE AREA.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. INCREASING HIGH CLOUDS BY EARLY
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73.
MIN HUMIDITY........23-28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 3-5 MPH BECOMING WEST 5-10 MPH IN THE
                    EARLY AFTERNOON. TRANSITIONING TO NORTHWEST WINDS
                    10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH AROUND 1700 PDT.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    CHANCE OF RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 10-14 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    VARIABLE 3-6 MPH AROUND 2000 PDT.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........RAIN IN THE MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-49 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING WEST 10-15 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...PALLISTER
REQUESTED BY...BRIANA LUEKER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20121011.EASTH.01/MSO