FNUS75 KBOI 142301
FWSBOI

SPOT FORECAST FOR WESLEY...PAYETTE DISPATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
501 PM MDT SUN OCT 14 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1618 MDT ON OCTOBER 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...SOAKING RAIN ARRIVING MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING...

.DISCUSSION...
.THE OVERALL WEATHER PATTERN IS FINALLY CHANGING INTO A MORE COMMON AUTUMN
ONE WITH RAPIDLY CHANGING CONDITIONS AND NUMEROUS WEATHER SYSTEMS BRINGING
PRECIPITATION. A WARM FRONT WILL BE OVER THE AREA TONIGHT WITH ONLY SOME
LIGHT SHOWER ACTIVITY. THIS FIRST WEAK FEATURE MOISTENS THE AIR MASS AND
SETS THE STAGE FOR A MAJOR PRECIPITATION EVENT MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.
RIGHT NOW MODELS ARE INDICATING AT LEAST A HALF INCH OF SOAKING RAINS OVER
THE FIRE. IT MAY BE COLD ENOUGH AT THE VERY HIGHEST ELEVATIONS ABOVE 7000
FEET TUESDAY FOR MIXED RAIN...SNOW OR ICE PELLETS. THIS SYSTEM WILL USHER
IN A LOT OF WIND ON THE RIDGE TOPS AS THE JETSTREAM CROSSES DIRECTLY OVER
THE FIRE.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42 TO 47.
MAX HUMIDITY........87 TO 99 PERCENT.
WIND - EYE LEVEL....SOUTH 11 TO 17 MPH. GUSTS 25 TO 30 MPH ON THE HIGHEST
                    PEAKS AND ELEVATIONS.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...75 POOR.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....53 TO 58.
MIN HUMIDITY........51 TO 56 PERCENT.
WIND - EYE LEVEL....SOUTH 6 TO 11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 22 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...600 GOOD.

.MONDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. STEADY RAIN DEVELOPING BEFORE MIDNIGHT.
                    CHANCE OF RAIN NEAR 100 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42 TO 47. .
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND - EYE LEVEL....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...150 POOR.

.OUTLOOK FOR TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...SOAKING STEADY RAIN MIXED WITH HIGH
ELEVATION SNOW AND ICE PELLETS TUESDAY MORNING. CHILLY AND WINDY WITH HIGHS
IN THE 40S AND LOWS 35 TO 40. DRYING OUT WEDNESDAY WITH STILL A CHANCE
OF SHOWERS. LOWS 35 TO 45 AND HIGHS 45 TO 50. DRIER AND WARMER THURSDAY
AND FRIDAY. LOWS 30 TO 40 AND HIGHS IN THE 50S.

$$
FORECASTER...SKARI
REQUESTED BY...DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20121014.WESLE.01/BOI