FNUS75 KBOU 142130 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR FERN LAKE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 325 PM MDT SUN OCT 14 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...IT WILL DRY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT WITH ONLY SOME HIGH CLOUDS AT TIMES FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. ON TUESDAY THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. WEST WINDS WILL INCREASE ON TUESDAY WITH GUSTS IN THE 40 TO 50 MPH RANGE ESPECIALLY OVER THE HIGHER RIDGES. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....31. MAX HUMIDITY........60%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 11-16 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3600-4600 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2300. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 0500. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....54. MIN HUMIDITY........25-30%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 9-15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12-20 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 24-28 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0800...THEN 4200-5200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1300...THEN VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .MONDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....33. MAX HUMIDITY........61%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 12-18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 24-28 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3400-4400 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1900...THEN GOOD UNTIL 2100...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....53. MIN HUMIDITY........36%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDY. WEST WINDS 22-32 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 32-40 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 40-52 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700...THEN 4000-5000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 1700. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 0600... THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 1200. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR FERNLAKE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 10/14-15 24 0 0 50 39 W14 22 2 1 NW37 6425 NW21 116797 V 10/14-16 24 0 0 49 39 W14 23 2 1 NW36 5814 NW21 104311 V 10/14-17 24 0 0 48 39 W14 23 3 1 NW33 5203 NW21 91825 G 10/14-18 16 0 0 47 41 W14 22 3 1 NW31 4592 W20 79340 G 10/14-19 16 0 0 43 44 W14 22 3 1 NW30 3554 W20 60684 G 10/14-20 16 0 0 40 47 W13 21 3 1 NW29 2516 W18 42028 F 10/14-21 16 0 0 39 48 W13 21 3 1 NW28 1478 W18 23373 P 10/14-22 16 0 0 37 50 W13 20 3 1 NW29 1138 W17 17665 P 10/14-23 16 0 0 37 51 W13 21 2 1 NW30 798 W16 11957 P 10/15-00 15 0 0 35 53 W13 21 2 1 NW31 458 W16 6250 P 10/15-01 15 0 0 35 53 W13 21 2 1 W32 392 W15 5232 P 10/15-02 15 0 0 34 54 W13 21 2 1 W32 326 W15 4215 P 10/15-03 15 0 0 33 54 W13 21 2 1 W33 260 W14 3197 P 10/15-04 15 0 0 33 54 W12 20 2 1 W35 256 W14 3094 P 10/15-05 15 0 0 32 54 W12 17 2 1 NW35 252 W14 2990 P 10/15-06 19 0 0 32 56 W10 16 2 1 NW36 248 W14 2886 P 10/15-07 19 0 0 33 57 W10 17 3 1 NW36 797 W15 12740 P 10/15-08 19 0 0 37 53 W12 17 3 1 NW35 1346 W17 22593 P 10/15-09 19 0 0 43 46 W12 18 4 1 NW32 1895 W20 32446 P 10/15-10 19 0 0 48 40 W12 17 4 1 NW29 2826 W21 53677 F 10/15-11 19 0 0 50 37 W10 16 4 1 NW23 3756 W22 74908 G 10/15-12 18 0 0 52 35 W10 16 4 1 NW20 4686 W24 96139 G 10/15-13 18 0 0 53 34 W12 18 4 1 W20 4913 W24 103124 V 10/15-14 18 0 0 53 34 W14 22 4 1 W21 5140 W24 110109 V 10/15-15 18 0 0 54 33 W15 24 4 1 W23 5367 W25 117094 V 10/15-16 18 0 0 53 31 W15 24 4 1 W25 5034 W26 116643 V 10/15-17 18 0 0 52 30 W15 24 4 1 W28 4701 W29 116192 V 10/15-18 28 0 0 50 31 W15 24 4 1 W30 4368 W30 115741 V 10/15-19 28 0 0 46 35 W15 23 4 1 W35 3411 W30 90139 G 10/15-20 28 0 0 43 40 W14 22 3 1 W39 2453 W30 64538 G 10/15-21 28 0 0 42 45 W13 21 3 1 W45 1495 W30 38936 P 10/15-22 28 0 0 40 47 W13 20 3 1 W46 1254 W28 31356 P 10/15-23 28 0 0 39 48 W13 20 2 1 W46 1012 W26 23775 P 10/16-00 32 0 0 38 50 W13 21 2 1 W44 771 W24 16195 P 10/16-01 32 0 0 37 51 W13 21 2 1 W39 731 W24 15546 P 10/16-02 32 0 0 36 53 W13 21 3 1 NW35 690 W25 14896 P 10/16-03 32 0 0 36 55 W14 22 4 1 NW30 650 W25 14247 P 10/16-04 32 0 0 35 57 W15 24 5 1 NW28 629 W26 14674 P 10/16-05 32 0 0 34 59 W16 25 5 1 NW26 607 W29 15100 P 10/16-06 27 0 0 34 61 W17 28 5 1 NW25 586 W31 15527 P 10/16-07 27 0 0 35 59 W18 29 5 1 NW23 1177 W35 38346 P 10/16-08 27 0 0 38 54 W18 30 5 1 NW21 1769 W38 61164 G 10/16-09 27 0 0 43 46 W20 31 4 1 NW22 2360 W41 83983 G 10/16-10 27 0 0 47 40 W21 32 3 1 NW28 3203 W41 113912 V 10/16-11 27 0 0 49 37 W21 33 3 1 NW37 4046 W41 143842 V 10/16-12 42 10 2 51 36 W22 35 2 1 NW46 4889 W41 173772 E 10/16-13 42 10 2 52 36 W24 38 2 1 NW51 4986 W44 189628 E 10/16-14 42 10 2 52 37 W26 41 2 1 NW53 5083 W46 205485 E 10/16-15 42 10 2 53 38 W28 44 2 1 W55 5181 W49 221342 E 10/16-16 42 10 2 52 39 W29 46 2 1 W58 4997 W51 221431 E 10/16-17 42 10 2 51 41 W29 46 2 1 W59 4814 W53 221521 E 10/16-18 71 30 9 48 44 W28 44 2 1 W60 4630 W55 221611 E 10/16-19 71 30 9 44 50 W24 39 2 1 W59 3933 W51 177793 E 10/16-20 71 30 9 41 56 W21 33 2 1 W58 3236 W46 133974 V 10/16-21 71 30 9 40 58 W17 28 2 1 W58 2538 W41 90156 G 10/16-22 71 30 9 38 61 W16 25 2 1 W60 2667 W41 96925 G 10/16-23 71 30 9 37 63 W15 24 2 1 W64 2796 W43 103694 V 10/17-00 72 30 9 36 65 W15 24 2 1 W69 2925 W44 110463 V 10/17-01 72 30 9 35 66 W15 24 2 1 W71 3243 W45 128109 V 10/17-02 72 30 9 34 68 W16 25 2 1 W74 3561 W47 145754 V 10/17-03 72 30 9 33 67 W17 28 2 1 W76 3880 W48 163400 E 10/17-04 72 30 9 32 65 W20 31 3 1 W78 4038 W48 171403 E 10/17-05 72 30 9 32 62 W21 35 3 1 NW81 4195 W49 179406 E 10/17-06 59 20 4 32 58 W23 37 4 1 NW83 4353 W49 187410 E 10/17-07 59 20 4 33 52 W24 38 4 1 NW86 4658 W51 204321 E 10/17-08 59 20 4 33 48 W24 39 4 1 NW91 4963 W51 221233 E 10/17-09 59 20 4 36 41 W24 39 4 1 NW94 5267 NW52 238145 E 10/17-10 59 20 4 38 35 W23 37 4 1 NW97 5341 NW53 243607 E 10/17-11 59 20 4 39 32 W22 35 4 1 NW98 5415 NW53 249068 E 10/17-12 25 0 0 40 30 W21 33 4 1 NW99 5489 NW53 254530 E 10/17-13 25 0 0 41 29 W21 33 4 1 NW98 5406 NW53 246442 E 10/17-14 25 0 0 41 28 W22 35 3 1 NW98 5323 NW52 238354 E 10/17-15 25 0 0 41 27 W22 35 3 1 NW96 5239 NW51 230266 E 10/17-16 25 0 0 40 27 W22 36 3 1 NW93 4937 NW51 216238 E 10/17-17 25 0 0 39 27 W22 36 2 1 NW91 4634 W51 202210 E 10/17-18 11 0 0 37 28 W22 35 2 1 NW87 4331 W49 188182 E KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...FBAN REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20121014.FERNL.01/BOU